Does the Pats’ series against the Cowboys last?
The Pats face their favorite opponent this millennium on Sunday. They haven’t lost to Dallas since 1996 and even if they are in a good mood right now, the Patriots naturally want to continue their series.
That’s not unrealistic, as their defence has been pouring concrete in the last few games. With only 337.6 yards allowed per game, they are in the top 5, in contrast to the Cowboys, who are only in 25th place with 390.4 yards conceded.
Top defence vs. top offence is the name of the game in Boston on Sunday. For Patriots vs. Cowboys, our forecast is a very close matchup that will only be decided in the final minutes. Therefore, the odds on New England in this case are also much more bettable.
Due to the strong defence, which could even keep Brady and the Bucs under 20 points, we also assume no high scoring game. Under 51.5 is therefore another value that lends itself to betting.
Kickoff of the exciting game from NFL Week 6 is on Sunday night at 22.25 and it will be broadcast live by ProSieben Maxx and DAZN.
New England Patriots – Statistics & current form
Finally “Dallas” again, Patriots fans will think when they look at the schedule, because there was a lot to celebrate against them in the last decades. Probably only the fewest can still remember the last defeat in 1996.
Back then, the two quarterbacks were still Drew Bledsoe and Troy Aikman. A lot has changed on both sides since then, but the good feeling against the Cowboys still exists, as we could see in the interviews during the week.
Jones with plenty of confidence
The Pats are aware that they’ve looked good against Dallas in the past, and that’s exactly the confidence they’re displaying now. Even rookie quarterback Mac Jones, though he’s never been one for sadness when it comes to confidence anyway.
However, it is precisely he who could become the weak point in the Dallas mission. He lags his counterpart Prescott in just about every statistic (5 to 13 TD, 1243 to 1368 yards, 86.4 to 116.9 in passer rating).
Does the defense take over again?
If Jones can’t make the matchup with Prescott a little more even, then the task will be difficult for New England. If he succeeds, however, then we actually see them ahead. For as superior as the boys’ offence appears, the Pats’ defence is superior all the same.
With 317.6, they allow an average of 72.8 yards less than the Cowboys’ defence. They are also clearly ahead in points allowed with 18.4 (Cowboys 23.4). So if their offence performs just a little better than last time, success is quite possible.
We are betting on it, also because there is excellent value. For Pats vs. Cowboys, the odds on New England are so high at up to 2.65 that we can’t avoid betting on them. Especially since they are also playing at home.
Key Players:
QB: Mac Jones
– RB: Damien Harris
– WR: Nelson Agholor
– TE: Jonnu Smith
– K: Nick Folk
Dallas Cowboys – Statistics & Current Form
The Cowboys started for the first time since 2016 with 4-1 wins in a season and especially offensively they strongly remind of much more successful times. If it weren’t for their defence, which still leaves reason for concern.
Especially against the pass, they are still as bad as in the previous season (311 yards allowed per game) and only one team ever allows more yards in this area (Buccaneers: 314.4). They desperately need to work on that,
Trevon Diggs clearly glosses over the defensive stats
The fact that they have still managed to win four games so far is mainly due to one defensive player: Trevon Diggs. The cornerback has already fished down six interceptions, which clearly leads the entire NFL.
If it weren’t for these interceptions, the statistics would certainly look much worse and whether they would then stand at a 4:1 record is also questionable. The rest of the secondary (including safeties) is playing mediocre.
Will Elliott be fit in time?
Another small question mark is behind running back Zeke Elliott, who is struggling with a rib injury. Although there is an excellent backup in Tony Pollard in the squad, Elliott is simply a weapon for the short downs.
Of course, the Boys can win this game again – no question. But if we look at their middling favourite status, then a bet on the home team is clearly the bet with the greater winning potential when it comes to Pats vs Cowboys.
Key Players:
– QB: Dak Prescott
– RB: Ezekiel Elliott
– WR: Amari Cooper
– WR: CeDee Lamb
– K: Greg Zuerlein
New England Patriots – Dallas Cowboys Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
We have already mentioned that the last Cowboys win against New England was almost 15 years ago. Since both teams are also experts in close games, we expect such a game again on Sunday.
In close games, it’s usually a mistake or a great move that decides the outcome. Predicting an outcome is always difficult in thrillers, as the last matchday alone proved (Packers vs. Bengals, Vikings vs. Lions, Browns vs. Chargers).
In all these games, both the underdog and the favourite could have won, which is what we expect for Sunday as well. This makes the odds on the underdog the clear better bet for Patriots vs. Cowboys.
New England Patriots – Dallas CowboysTip
Will the Cowboys win against the Pats for the first time since 1996? We see a real thriller in the house and go with the slightly better defence of the home team.
They allow exactly five points less per game, which could be the deciding factor on Sunday. For New England vs. Dallas, a tip on the Patriots is therefore the No.1 bet of our choice.
Alternatively, betting odds on subpar points are also an option between the Patriots and Cowboys. Pats games are basically low-scoring this season, but the Cowboys also struggle against good defensive lines (see the 20-17 loss to the Chargers).
