Will Miami get their fifth win in a row?

The Miami Dolphins can take a big step towards the play-offs on Sunday. On the 12th game day of the NFL Miami receives the team of the Houston Texans at the Hard Rock Stadium. The host is the clear favourite to win this duel. For the Dolphins, it would be the fifth win in a row.

The Texans will have something against it, but not much speaks for the underdog. With only one win this season, their season is already cooked. The play-offs weren’t an issue before the season and yet the season so far has been disappointing.

Accordingly, between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans, the betting odds are extremely one-sided. For a win by the home side, we are only offered odds of 1.12 and are therefore anything but lucrative.

Nevertheless, in the match between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans, the prediction must be in favour of the home team, because the Texans are clearly inferior in all areas. Therefore, an away win is also offered with odds of 6.75.

Jaylen Waddle was injured in the meantime and therefore did not play his best game against the Chicago Bears. However, he is one of the best receivers in the NFL this season, so he should be back in full juice after a good week of practice without any further complications. In the game between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans, betting on a touchdown from the wide receiver therefore seems very interesting

Miami Dolphins – Statistics & current form

The Miami Dolphins are in fifth place in the American Football Conference. With seven wins from ten games, Mike McDaniel’s team is on a good path towards the NFL playoffs. In the game against the Houston Texans, a win is mandatory and could already pave the way to the knockout round. Nevertheless, the team around Tua Tagovailoa should not underestimate the upcoming opponent. Especially in the NFL, every team can cause a surprise, even if there is little to be said for it at the moment.

Tua Tagovailoa the guaranteed winner

The Miami Dolphins quarterback has won all seven games in which he has been on the field for the full distance this season. During his three-week layoff, Coach McDaniel’s team lost all of its games and was especially pale on offense. When Tua plays, the Dolphins average 29.14 points, well above their overall average of 25.2 points. This is mainly due to Miami’s very good passing game, which has two outstanding receivers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

In the running game, however, the team does not function as well and for this reason Miami signed Jeff Wilson from the San Francisco 49ers just a fortnight ago. In his first two games for the Dolphins he scored two touchdowns and thus made a direct impact. He seems to have taken over from Raheem Mostert for the time being, but he remains a good option and has also been successful recently. Maybe Miami’s running game will get a lot better as a result.

Weak spot defensively

The Miami Dolphins’ defensive line is the team’s weak point. On average, the back line allows 24.1 points and thus has the potent offense to thank. The Dolphins are not particularly good against either the passing game or the running game. However, Miami should have no problems playing against one of the weakest offenses in the NFL. Especially because Houston doesn’t have any particular strengths on offense and lives mostly off the actions of running back Dameon Pierce.

Key players of the Miami Dolphins:
QB: Tua Tagovailoa – WR: Tyreek Hill – WR: Jaylen Waddle – S: Jevon Holland – K: Jason Sanders

Houston Texans – Statistics & current form

The Houston Texans are not only in last place in the AFC, they are also the weakest team in the entire NFL. With only one win out of ten games, the Texans are almost worse than in the preseason. The only win came against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are also one of the weaker teams in the National Football League. It is currently very difficult to see anything positive in the play of Lovie Smith’s team.

Lack of offensive power

Quarterback Davis Mills’ team is one of the weakest offenses in the NFL. The Texans are averaging just 15.9 points, so it’s no surprise that they’ve only picked up one win so far. Neither the passing game nor the running game are working and there is only one player on the entire squad who stands out. Running back Dameon Pierce is seventh in the league in rushing with 780 rushing yards and three touchdowns. However, he alone cannot win a game.

Houston averages only 192.2 passing yards a game and is one of the weakest teams in the NFL in that category as well. The only receiver just barely in the top-50 is wide receiver Brandin Cooks. However, with 461 yards and only one touchdown, he is far from the top players. No player on the team has more than three touchdowns and that is just too few. It would thus be no surprise if the Texans are also at the bottom of the table at the end of the season.

Solid defensive effort

Defensively, Coach Smith’s team isn’t as bad as many probably think. On average, the Texans allow 23.0 points per game and find themselves in the middle of the NFL with this value. Against the run game, however, Houston has some problems and allows 178.9 rushing yards per game. Especially against Mostert and Wilson it will be extremely difficult for the Texans’ defensive line. Therefore, another defeat is on the horizon.

Key players of the Houston Texans:
QB: Davis Mills – RB: Dameon Pierce – WR: Chris Moore – S: Jalen Pitre – K: Ka’imi Fairbairn

Miami Dolphins – Houston Texans Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The direct comparison goes against all odds to the guests of the upcoming game. The Texans won nine of the twelve duels against Miami and are therefore at least not without a chance. The last duel took place in the preseason and ended with 17:9 for the Dolphins. The game may well be relevant for the upcoming match, because not everything changes in a team in just one year. The direct comparison between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans strengthens our forecast for a clear home win.

Miami Dolphins – Houston Texans Tip

The starting position seems clear and therefore between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans the odds for a home win are also not playable. The betting fee alone would almost destroy the possible profit. We therefore play the tip “Miami wins both halves” between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans.

The Houston Texans scored an average of 15.9 points and stayed below their average against the Washington Commanders. We expect that to be the case against the Dolphins as well. Miami’s defence is solid against the run game and has to focus almost exclusively on Dameon Pierce. As a result, the visitors’ offensive game is very transparent. In the game between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans, the odds for under 15.5 points by the visitors are 1.98.