How are the Mavs doing without Davis?
The Mavericks are currently walking a tightrope between drama and utter disaster. With only two defeats away from missing the playoffs completely, they urgently need a win in our Mavericks vs. Heat betting tip for Thursday night.
The Floridians, for their part, are also in a bit of a rebuilding process after trading away Jimmy Butler and are also doing worse than expected with 25-26 wins. So a lot is at stake in this duel of the disappointed.
The Mavericks will have to do without their new hope Anthony Davis for a few more weeks. Davis injured his adductors in his first appearance for Dallas and will now be out for several weeks.
Nevertheless, they should have the depth in the squad to make up for this, which is why our prediction for the Mavericks vs. Heat is a home win for Dallas. They should be able to give their all in the last game before the Allstar break before taking the break that lasts several days.
Mavericks – Statistics & current form
The Mavs are fluctuating, but will they fall too? If they miss the playoffs this season after the Doncic trade, it would probably not only be the end of Nico Harrison as GM, but also of the bright future prospects for the entire franchise.
This makes every single game all the more important for them now. So the loss of Anthony Davis hurts all the more, of course. In the 31 minutes he was on the court against Houston, you could see how important he could still become for Dallas. After all, he scored 26 points in that time.
Dallas’ second team has to do it
So it is up to the players again, who Davis should actually displace. PJ Washington, for example, who has already put on 13 double-doubles this season. Or Daniel Gafford, who, however, should also work best alongside Davis.
Gafford has already recorded eight double-doubles this season. So our first betting tip for the game between Dallas and Miami is a double-double for both Washington and Gafford. We can get odds of up to 2.40 for Washington here.
Mavs stronger offensively
In the duel with Miami, we see Dallas’ offense as their trump card – even without Davis. However, he has only played one game for the franchise and they also had to do without Doncic for a long time before that. Nevertheless, they score a good 115.8 points per game on average.
That’s also 5.8 points more than the Heat can score per game. They have now also lost Jimmy Butler, which is why we will see both teams without their previous top scorers. That speaks for the home team, which makes a bet on the Mavs in our eyes significantly more playable for Maericks against the Heat.
Since they are even considered the slight underdogs, we can take strong odds of over 2.00 here.
Key Players:
- PG: Dante Exum
- SG: Kyrie Irving
- SF: Klay Thompson
- PF: P.J. Washington
- C: Daniel Gafford
Heat – Statistics & current form
The Butler chapter is finally closed for the Heat and they can look ahead. With Andrew Wiggins, they have also got a reasonably good replacement, although of course he still has to settle into the new team.
So we don’t think the Heat are yet in rhythm offensively for Thursday. We don’t think they can score more than their 110.0 points on average against the increasingly defensively oriented Mavericks. So the betting odds on Under 110 Heat points are another betting option in Mavericks vs. Heat.
Heat with two defeats in a row
The last two games have shown how unstuck they are at the moment. 86:102 against the Nets and 85:103 against the Celtics were both not good performances for the game against Dallas. Incidentally, this makes the betting odds for Dallas vs. Miami on general under-points also interesting.
Of course, they shouldn’t go down by almost 20 points against the Mavericks, who are also struggling, but we think it’s questionable whether they’ll win the game. They would have to clearly dominate the boards with Adebayo and Ware.
Miami under the basket with advantages
Especially when Adebayo and Ware are on the court together, that should be their great strength against Dallas. They are missing Davis and Daniel Gafford is not the classic rim protector. So it’s not unlikely that both Adebayo and Ware will each grab over ten rebounds.
Here, too, the odds of double-doubles for Dallas against Miami are therefore an option, although we even favor one for Adebayo. However, we would clearly avoid betting on Miami to win at this point given their form.
Key Players:
- PG: Tyler Herro
- WG: Duncan Robinson
- SF: Bam Adebayo
- PF: Haywood Haysmith
- C: Kel’el Ware
Mavericks – Heat Head-to-head / H2H record
There has already been one duel between the two teams this season and it was a real nail-biter. The Heat won 123-118 after overtime – but that was in Miami and not in Dallas like on Thursday.
We don’t expect that many points anymore. Firstly, because it shouldn’t go into overtime and secondly, because the Mavs have increasingly focused on their defense after the trade window – even if that hasn’t always worked due to the personnel situation.
All in all, however, they should be strong enough to keep the also weakening Miami in check. So our prediction for the Mavericks vs. Heat is a home win for Kyrie Irving and his men, who should be able to take a sense of achievement with them to the Allstar Game.
Mavericks – Heat Tip
The Heat scored an average of 85.5 points in their last two games before Wednesday night (not counting the Thunder game). The Mavs should have enough weapons against this offense to keep Miami under 110 points as well.
That would also give them a good chance of winning the game. Since they are considered slight underdogs, a tip on Dallas vs. Heat is also highly recommended from a value perspective.
As a player bet, we recommend a tip on Klay Thompson in addition to the double-double options already mentioned. He has scored 19.0 points on average in his last three games and should therefore be able to easily surpass the set 14.5 again.
