Do the Broncos get on track against the Chargers of all teams?

AFC West – what was described as a divine division before the season is slowly becoming one where things are going to hell for some teams. The Raiders are already on the brink of the abyss and the Denver Broncos just short of it as well.

For the Chargers, too, the season started anything but well. However, they were able to regain some composure with two wins in a row and currently rank second behind the Chiefs with a 3:2 record. For the Broncos with their 2:3 wins, however, it’s already almost about everything on Monday.

Accordingly, we expect another defensive Broncos bulwark, with little room for game highlights at the moment. Although there should be a few more total points than in the Broncos defeat against the Colts last week (21), a fireworks display is not to be expected.

Thus, our prediction for Chargers vs. Broncos is a scrappy game with lots of punts and few touchdowns. Bets on under-scoring or few points by both teams are always best in such conditions.

Kickoff of this final game of Week 6 is at 02:15 on Tuesday night in Los Angeles. The game can be followed live on DAZN.

Los Angeles Chargers – Statistics & current form

The Chargers were able to avoid the worst case scenario, but came close several times against the Browns. They were only one successful field goal away from a 2:3 record, which would put them in the same quagmire as the Broncos now.

What a difference one more win can make. Still, all that glitters is far from gold for the Chargers, and defensively in particular, they’re a far cry from recent years when they regularly fielded a top-ranked defence.

Bosa is missing from every corner

At 27.2 points conceded per game, their defense ranks among the weakest three in the NFL, topped only by the revolving doors of the Seahawks and Lions. That’s where not only the departure of Melvin Ingram becomes obvious, but also the absence of Joey Bosa due to injury.

Luckily for them, the Denver Broncos now come to LA, with an offence that averages just 15.0 points. A good opportunity to boost the defensive stats. However, with Denver also only allowing an average of 16.0 points, it won’t be that easy offensively for the Chargers either.

Running game needs to be established

As good as Justin Herbert is through the air, their running game is just as important to the Chargers. They are averaging 99.2 yards a game here, but that number was somewhat glossed over by their 238 rushing yards performance against the Browns.

Previously, the Chargers were one of the two weakest running teams in the league. Still, this performance and especially Austin Ekeler’s 173 rushing yards could be a turnaround. If they fall back into old running patterns, we see black against this good Broncos defence.

It’s hard to predict how well this will work. Since Denver is worse against the run than they are against the pass, this could be a chance for LA. Still, for Chargers vs Broncos, betting on LA is not a good option for us due to the low odds.

Key Players:
QB: Justin Hebert
RB: Austin Ekeler
WR: Keenan Allen
TE: Gerald Everett
K: Dustin Hopkins

Denver Broncos – stats & current form

Quo Vadis Denver? It’s getting close for Russell Wilson and his Broncos to make this season a success after all, as another loss would already severely minimise their playoff hopes. In this tough division, a 2-4 start would already be a big mortgage.

Especially when we look at Denver’s remaining schedule. In the last six game days they play the Chiefs twice, the Ravens, the Rams, the Cardinals and finally the Chargers. A positive record by game day 11 would almost be a must.

Red Zone efficiency bottomless bad

When we look at the Broncos’ problem areas, one statistic stands out as particularly negative: their red zone efficiency. With 21.43%, they not only rank last in the league, no, the gap to the second weakest team is already huge (Seattle: 38.46%).

This number is frightening, especially since the quarterback is Russell Wilson and has a lot of experience. But even he is regularly making the wrong decisions so far this season. That’s why the Broncos are averaging only 15.0 points. Only the Colts are scoring less per game.

It could get dirty again

With Javonte Williams their best running back out for the rest of the season, however, and Wilson not clicking with his receivers from one game to the next, a win can once again only come from a strong defensive performance.

If they keep the Chargers under 20 points then they should be able to win, if not then it will be difficult. However, with the oddsmakers taking even 27 points for LA as the mean, this is a good opportunity for us to take advantage of Sub 27 LA point odds on Chargers vs Broncos.

Key Players:
QB: Russell Wilson
RB: Melvin Gordon III
WR: Courtland Sutton
WR: Jerry Jeudy
K: Brandon McManus

Los Angeles Chargers – Denver Broncos Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

This duel has been fairly even in recent years. Of the last ten duels, six went to the Chargers and four to the Broncos. What is striking, however, are the many low-scoring games of these two teams.

The Chargers, for example, have scored the 27 points set by the bookmakers only twice in the last 15 meetings. Since the Broncos defence is also one of the best this season, the 27 points surprise us even more.

So for LA against Denver, a bet on under 27 Chargers points is almost a no-brainer. In fact, we wouldn’t be surprised if they barely hit the 20-point mark. Under points are also an excellent betting option for this reason, of course.

Los Angeles Chargers – Denver Broncos Tip

It’s a crux with these Broncos. You actually trust them to break through in every game, but betting on them? Well, I guess not. However, we see a near 50-50 duel coming up here, which still makes win bets on them more attractive than on the Chargers.

Nevertheless, our favourite betting option is a different one. For Los Angeles vs. Denver, the betting odds on Under 27 Chargers points are so good that we can’t go past this bet. Nor should we.

Nevertheless, we also see general bets on sub-par points as a good alternative. The Broncos are averaging just 15 points and conceding 16. That should say it all for this matchup, which is traditionally low-scoring.