Do Mahomes and the Chiefs stay hot against the Raiders?

One of Pat Mahomes’ favourite opponents comes to Arrowhead Stadium on Monday: the Las Vegas Raiders. The star quarterback always enjoys playing against them and also traditionally scores a lot of points. 39.2 on average over the last five duels.

The duel certainly doesn’t come in handy for the Raiders, who have made a bad start to the season with 1-3 victories and a 1-4 loss would reduce their play-off hopes to a minimum at this early stage.

In this respect, we expect a tough fightback from the Raiders, who already proved against the Broncos last week that they will not surrender without a fight this season. However, the Chiefs are still the favourites, especially at home.

So for Kansas City vs. Las Vegas, our prediction is a home win for the Chiefs, with some points likely to be scored as usual in this matchup. However, whether there will be another blowout win by Mahomes Sund Co. is questionable.

Start time for this top game is Monday night at 02:15 in Kansas City. The game can be watched live on DAZN.

Kansas City Chiefs – Statistics & current form

After the defeat was before the outstanding victory. That’s how the Chiefs’ last two weeks could be summed up. Against Tom Brady and Co. Mahomes and his teammates showed that they are once again among the top favourites for the Super Bowl this season.

So it’s good that they now have to face the Las Vegas Raiders. Mahomes has only lost to them once in his entire career. In the last five games he even put 39.2 points in their nest, more than any other team in this period.

Mahomes finds all his receivers

One of the Chiefs’ strengths here is their balance at the receiving positions. Whoever thought that the departure of Tyreek Hill would tear a big hole in the squad is mistaken. Even if Travis Kelce remains the No. 1 target, every wide receiver will get plenty of opportunities to excel.

Whether it’s Juju Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman, Justin Watson or Marquez Valdez-Scantling, they’ve all had at least one 40-yard game in recent weeks. Valdez-Scantling, for example, has surpassed that mark in three of the four games, sometimes by a significant margin.

This makes a bet on Valdez-Scantling’s 40.5+ receiving yards against the Raiders one of our most promising betting options. Especially against the spotty Raiders defence, he should be able to easily surpass this number again.

How focused are the Chiefs?

The only ones who could stand in the way of another Chiefs success are themselves. Just like against Indianapolis, when they showed a lot of lack of concentration and were probably already thinking about the upcoming game against the Buccaneers.

That could be a small danger again, because next week there is the absolute top game against Buffalo, which the whole NFL world is looking forward to. That’s why handicap bets of over 7-8 point leads should be taken with a grain of salt.

Key Players:
QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
WR: Juju Smith-Schuster
TE: Travis Kelce
K: Harrison Butker

Las Vegas Raiders – stats & recent form

The Raiders may have avoided the Worts Case scenario, but they are far from out of the woods after their win over the Broncos. They continue to grace the bottom of the strong AFC West with 1-3 wins, and a win against Kansas City isn’t necessarily on the cards right now.

But maybe that’s their chance on Monday: to catch the Chiefs on the wrong foot between their top two games against Tampa and Buffalo. Just like in 2020, when they also pulled off a big surprise in Kansas City with a 40:32 win.

Derek Carr still too inconsistent

Derek Carr in particular still needs to work a little more on his security. Although he is only 68 yards behind his counterpart Mahomes in terms of yards scored, he is well behind in terms of completion percentage with 61 to 66.4%.

The two are also worlds apart in terms of yards per throw (6.7 to 7.6) and passer rating (83.2 to 108.4). This was not always so clear in previous years. Above all, he should raise his completion percentage to over 65% in the course of the season, otherwise he won’t make the playoffs.

High or low scoring game?

In recent years, this duel has often been a guarantee for many points. However, the over-points were not achieved every time because the Raiders did not score enough. That could change this season, which is why the over 51.5 is definitely worth considering.

Still: For Kansas City vs. Las Vegas there are odds that are even better to play. We recommend betting on Over 40.5 yards from Valdez-Scantling or Over 30.5 points de Chiefs, as we trust them a bit more for Monday than the Raiders who are still in crisis mode.

Key Players:
QB: Derek Carr
RB: Josh Jacobs
WR: Davante Adams
TE: Darren Waller
K: Daniel Carlson

Kansas City Chiefs – Las Vegas Raiders Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

As mentioned earlier, the Raiders are one of Mahomes’ favourite opponents and the Chiefs in general. Of the last ten duels, eight went to Kansas City. Four times the margin of victory was over 25 points.

It shouldn’t be that clear-cut on Monday, as the Raiders have a negative record this season but aren’t that bad. None of their defeats have come by more than a one score difference, so we would also avoid handicap bets on the Chiefs with over a one score lead.

That narrows down the betting options a bit. So for Chiefs vs Raiders, a yards or TD betting tip is a good option. For yards bets, we recommend targeting Valdez-Scantling, and for touchdowns, most likely Travis Kelce, who has already scored three touchdowns this season.

Kansas City Chiefs – Las Vegas Raiders Tip

It’s an AFC West intramural duel that always adds fuel to the fire. In games like this, Mahomes usually turns it up. But an even more important game awaits the Chiefs next week and the focus might be a little lacking. Mahomes is also prone to that from time to time.

While we expect the Chiefs to win, the amount is hard to gauge. That’s why for Chiefs vs. Raiders, a bet on Over 40.5 Receiving Yards from Valdez-Scantling is our bet to elegantly circumnavigate this question.

An exciting alternative is over points bets for both the game and on the Chiefs. Kansas City’s 30.5+ points, in particular, is a value they’ve surpassed each of their last five duels with the Raiders.