Have the Chiefs finally caught themselves?
The chef is cooking again for the Kansas City Chiefs. At least it looks like Patrick Mahomes has overcome his little slump, and the rest of the team also makes a much better impression than at the beginning of the season.
It was about time, though, as the 2020 champions had a 3:4 record at one point and were in danger of missing the playoffs. But with three wins in a row, including a convincing 41:14 in Las Vegas, Andy Reid’s men are back on track.
We can say the same for the Dallas Cowboys, although their slump lasted only one game – but then it was a real one. After the humiliation by the Broncos they hit back against the Falcons with full power.
However, since it was only the Falcons, it is not quite certain how consistent Dallas is on the road at the moment. Therefore, for Chiefs vs. Cowboys, our prediction is a Kansas City win, as they simply have Pat Mahomes and also play at home.
Kickoff of the NFL Week 11 game is Sunday night at 10:25 p.m. in the second TV slot and it can be watched live on DAZN’s RedZone and on ProSieben Maxx.
Kansas City Chiefs – Statistics & current form
The Chiefs are back for good. If there were still some doubts about their comeback after the narrow victory against the Rodgers-less Packers, these should now have been shattered after the game in Las Vegas.
Especially Pat Mahomes delivered one of his infamous creamy evenings. 406 yards, 5 touchdowns with not a single interception. That’s how we know the MVP of 2018 and Super Bowl Champion of 2020.
Chiefs already top favourite again?
It’s happening fast this season. Just as the Chiefs had slipped significantly in the favourites ranking at 3:4 wins, they are currently already back in the top 3 – together with the Bills and the Buccaneers.
Especially in this tight AFC without a real over-team (even the Bills are not that from our point of view), many teams can reach the Super Bowl. Especially the Kansas City Chiefs. Betting on them is not the worst option at this point.
High scoring game expected
Now on Sunday, it’s against the best offensive team in the league. A title that the Chiefs have often been able to secure in previous years. So we expect a real punt firework. Such high-scoring games traditionally suit the Chiefs and they often emerge victorious.
We expect them to do so again on Sunday. Their defence has weakened several times (373.2 yards allowed per game), but the Cowboys’ defence is not considered the most consistent either. A game in which both teams will score over 30 points is not out of the question.
That’s where we see Kansas City as the more mature team with more experience with such games (see also the 42:30 in Week 4). For Chiefs vs Cowboys, the odds on Mahomes and Co. are still very good to bet with a low handicap of up to -3.
Key Players:
QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
WR: Tyreek Hill
TE: Travis Kelce
K: Harrison Butker
Dallas Cowboys – Statistics & current form
Poor week before last, now again on the weekend. The last two weeks of the Cowboys showed us two completely different faces of America’s Team. But which one will we now see on Sunday?
Since the clear success against the Falcons took place, we are not yet convinced that this is really the true performance level of the Boys – especially since they are still missing two of their most important defensive players with DeMarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory.
Loss of Lawrence and Gregory could hurt
Even against Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs offence, Lawrence and Gregory would have been hugely important and Basham and Armstrong being able to step into the breach so well again is not likely.
This is a weakening that we must certainly take into account in our forecast. This puts even more responsibility on rookie Micah Parsons, who now can’t carry it every week either. Especially if the opponents can thus focus on him.
Offense still the showpiece
These defensive worries, however, should not obscure the fact that it is currently also a great pleasure to watch the Cowboys play. Mostly thanks to their offense. With 31.6 points they not only score the most points, but also by far the most yards per game with 433.9.
Problems in the defence, power in the offence – if that doesn’t speak for a high scoring game. Thus, in addition to the odds on the Chiefs, bets on over-points are also worth considering for Kansas City vs. Dallas. If not in this game, when!!!
Key Players:
QB: Dak Prescott
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
WR: Amari Cooper
TE: Dalton Schultz
K: Greg Zuerlein
Kansas City Chiefs – Dallas Cowboys Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Here we are again dealing with an AFC vs. NFC duel, which means the direct duels are limited. In the past ten years there have only been two clashes, each time with the better end for the home team.
This could also be the case on Sunday, as the Chiefs have slowly found their form again in recent weeks. They have also been able to get a grip on their defence at home (only 12.0 points conceded on average over the last two home games).
It is almost impossible that Dallas will score so few points, but Mahomes always feels comfortable in a high-scoring game. Therefore, for Kansas City vs Dallas, a bet on the Chiefs -3 is our bet of choice.
Kansas City Chiefs – Dallas Cowboys Tip
For the bettors, the Chiefs are the favourites despite their slightly weaker record. This is quite understandable after watching their last game against the Raiders. The Cowboys also won clearly, but they hardly got any resistance from the surrendering Falcons.
Thus, the Chiefs are also favourites for the betting pool. Only by a narrow margin, but we don’t have to take too big a handicap for that. For Chiefs vs. Cowboys, a tip on Kansas City -3 is still associated with a very good value.
Speaking of value: You can also get it for bets on over 55.5 total points. The Chiefs score 26.2 points on average, the Cowboys 31.6. That makes a total of 57.8 and for us a bet on over-points is worthwhile.
