How dominant can the Bills be?
In the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills match, the bookmakers’ prediction seems to be clearly a victory of the latter. And not without reason: The first-placed team of the AFC East wants to consolidate their position and thus also their very realistic seeming place in the Play Offs. In contrast, the team from Jacksonville seems rather mediocre.
Although the Jags were able to celebrate their only win of the season at home and have the home advantage again on Sunday, this will probably not be able to make the decisive difference against the Bills.
The Jaguars vs. the Bills are not a good bet to get odds on a win, as the team from Buffalo will most likely go home with the win in their luggage. Much more interesting are bets on the total points or the points of the teams themselves, which is why in the game Jacksonville Jaguars – Buffalo Bills our tip is on home ☺16.5 points.
It seems highly unlikely that the Jaguars will be able to stand up to the Bills. Last game day, the Jacksonville team failed to score double-digit points. In fact, their opponent, the Seattle Seahawks, was a statistically much weaker opponent than this week’s
Jacksonville Jaguars – Statistics & current form
On average, the Jacksonville Jaguars allow 29 points from their opponents per game, while only managing to score almost 18. They also suffered a devastating 31-7 loss to the Seattle Seahawks last game day. They have only managed to pick up one win from their last five games.
This came against the Miami Dolphins on Matchday 6, when the teams from the AFC East and AFC South met. Unlike the first-placed Bills, however, the Dolphins are at the bottom of the table in their division. The 23-20 victory was also a close one. This week’s game should be that much tougher to win.
Is Lawrence up to the pressure?
Easily the most anticipated performer for the Jags is clearly the rookie wearing back number 16, Trevor Lawrence. A first overall pick in this year’s draft, he went straight from his commanding college career with the Clemson Tigers to the National Football League. But is the 22-year-old even up to this responsibility yet?
Lawrence probably would have imagined a different start to his professional career. For every eight touchdowns thrown, he has already thrown nine interceptions. Even in the only win of his first season so far, he was only able to successfully throw one touchdown pass.
In the upcoming Jaguars vs. Bills match-up, a bet on fewer total points is also advisable, as Lawrence has not been able to produce a consistently good performance so far. With James Robinson and Carlos Hyde, two running backs are questionable to start on Sunday. The former also did not participate in practice on Wednesday. This could severely limit the Jags’ running game.
Key Players:
QB: Trevor Lawrence
RB: Carlos Hyde (if he can play)
WR: Marvin Jones Jr.
WR: Laviska Shenault Jr.
LB: Damien Wilson
Buffalo Bills – stats & current form
The Number One Team-in the AFC East has only been defeated by the Tennessee Titans in a close encounter, 31-34, in their last five games. Against the Texans from Houston, they even managed to win with a clean sheet at a score of 40-0. This week, too, the Bills do not seem to want to interrupt their upward trend.
Especially the Bills’ defence is getting more and more into the spotlight. They’ve racked up 18 sacks in their seven games so far this season, just over two per game, and are among the top ten teams in the National Football League when it comes to getting pressure on the quarterback.
No pass gets through
However, the Buffalo Bills’ defence clearly makes its best mark with its defence against their opponents’ passing game. Against the Dolphins last game day, they prevented any one touchdown pass and held them to under six yards of space gained per attempt.
So far this season, Buffalo defenders have thrown eleven interceptions. They limit their opponents to an average of 5.6 yards per try. They also have a 61.4 rating, which makes them the best passing defence in the league. The Buffalo Bills defence also has a league-best 18 recoveries so far.
Key Players:
QB: Josh Allen
WR: Stefon Diggs
LB: Tremaine Edmunds
LB: Micah Hyde
CB: Tre’Davious White
Jacksonville Jaguars – Buffalo Bills Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
With a bet on the away team to win the Jacksonville Jaguars – Buffalo Bills game, very low odds of around 1.10 can be achieved, this would be profitable with the welcome bonus on bet365. Significantly more interesting, however, are the over / under betting opportunities.
Because the rookie Trevor Lawrence will probably cut his teeth on the Bills’ defence. He already had problems against the Seahawks’ defence and only threw a single touchdown, so in the Jaguars vs. Bills game our prediction is that he will have at least as much trouble.
The Bills’ defence excels at defending passes, and the potential absence of running backs Robinson and Hyde could also massively limit the Jags’ running game. Wide receiver Cole Beasley and tight end Dawson Knox could also limit the Bills’ offensive power somewhat, but key players like Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders can compensate.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Buffalo Bills Tip
The clear favourites in this clash are the Bills. While they will know how to stop the Jags from advancing with their defence, it will be up to the offence under Josh Allen to build a lead. In the Jaguars vs Bills game, with odds of 1.97, our value bet is that the lead will be gained in the first half.
It seems more than unlikely that the Jaguars won’t get swept by the Bills. While we believe the Buffalo team will score high, they will also be able to keep the Jaguars down enough to avoid too high of a total.