Will the Packers end their losing streak against Dallas?
Will Lambeau Field go from impregnable fortress to theme park? Looking at Green Bay’s last home game, you could almost get that impression. However, the 10-27 loss to the Jets was also the first defeat at Lambeau Field after 15 previous undefeated games at this stadium.
This begs the question of whether they will lose two games in a row at home after being unbeatable there before. While we see this scenario as possible, we still have our doubts about the Cowboys’ huge favourite status.
Yes, the Packers have been a shadow of their former selves of late and yes, Aaron Rodgers threw only three interceptions for the third time in his career. But what makes a great quarterback: The ability to bounce back, as Tom Brady proved against LA recently.
We also trust Aaron Rodgers with this – especially at the beloved Lambeau Field. Since the Cowboys are also one of the Packers’ favourite opponents, our prediction for Green Bay vs. Dallas is a game of equals that could well end up going to the Packers.
Kickoff of the NFC internal duel is on Sunday at 10:25 pm in Green Bay. The game can be watched live on ProSieben, ran.de and on ENDZN on DAZN.
Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form
This was only the fifth strike and the sixth follows at the same time? Will Aaron Rodgers and the Packers actually lose out again on Sunday? It would actually be the first time in his long career that this would happen to him for the sixth time in a row. But it has already happened with five defeats.
Whereas in previous years you could have bet your entire belongings on the Packers bouncing back, it’s a little harder to do so this season. Although they have also only lost one home game this season. The other “home loss” came in London – not at Lambeau Field.
It’s got to pick up again sometime
Every week the experts and all NFL fans are now waiting for the “old” men around Brady, Stafford and Co. to get their act together again. Tom Brady apparently already did this last Sunday. Will Rodgers now follow?
The opponents, the Dallas Cowboys, are a very strong team, but they have also been particularly good to the Packers recently. Eight of the last ten meetings went to Green Bay, including the last three in a row. In this respect, the Boys Rodgers come just at the right time.
Packers and Rodgers statistically as bad as they’ve ever been
For a win, however, the Packers will have to get a handle on several problems at once. Rodgers himself has to cut out his mistakes, which are also exceptional by his standards. He has already thrown seven interceptions this season.
In the past four seasons, he didn’t even have that many at the end of the season – and we are only on game day 10. Of course, this also has to do with the lack of top receivers, which everyone has been talking about for weeks. But not only.
But most of all, the offensive point output (17.1 points per game) is shocking, which is also unusual by Packers standards. However, at least their defence is still competitive, allowing only 20.9 points per game.
This discrepancy of -3.8 points per game also helps explain Green Bay’s underdog status – despite Lambeau Field. For Packers vs Cowboys, however, the odds on Packers +5.5 are still so good that we can tackle them without a doubt. Even pure win bets per Packers cannot be ruled out in this matchup.
Key Players:
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Aaron Jones
WR: Allen Lazard
TE: Robert Tonyan
K: Mason Crosby
Dallas Cowboys – Statistics & Current Form
The Cowboys are at 6-2 wins and yet everyone in the NFC East is talking about the 8-0 Eagles. That could work to the Boys’ advantage, as they’re not drawing much attention to themselves this season. And yet they play really good football at times.
But only at times. Against both the Lions and the Bears, their offensive machinery faltered for a long time, which is why both Detroit and Chicago had chances to win until well into the second half. In the end, however, Dallas turned it up a notch in each case.
Elliott may be back
The comeback of running back Ezekiel Elliott is now on the agenda for Sunday and thus a big problem for the Cowboys. Since Elliott is considered a favourite of owner Jerry Jones, head coach Mike McCarthy will also use him.
That, in turn, weakens the Cowboys’ offence considerably, as Tony Pollard is clearly the better running back this year. So it could well be that Dallas is shooting itself in the foot here. In fact, we’d be much more likely to go with the Cowboys’ lead without Elliott than with him – as strange as that sounds.
Defense top – Offense solala
This brings us to the best part of the Cowboys’ team: their defence. With only 16.6 points allowed, the Boys are in a strong third place in this statistic. However, the fact that their schedule has been one of the easiest in the league so far diminishes this statistic a little.
The same can be said about the Eagles’ record – just by the way. Offensively, the Cowboys have not yet reached their zenith. With an average of 22.9 points, they rank only 14th in the league, and if we look at the total yards (322.1 per game), they even rank only 22nd.
Against a good Packers defence they will again have problems to score, which is why a clear success is not predictable for us. Thus, for Green Bay vs. Dallas, a pick on Packers +5.5 is an excellent way to win our bet even on a close Cowboys win.
Key Players:
QB: Cooper Rush
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
WR: CeeDee Lamb
TE: Dalton Schultz
K: Brett Maher
Green Bay Packers – Dallas Cowboys Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
We’ve already addressed it: The Cowboys are excellent against the Packers. Eight of the last ten duels went to Green Bay, including two playoff games. However, a clear Packers win is just as unlikely as a clear Dallas win given their current form.
This brings handicap betting into play. The bookmakers give the Packers a handicap of up to +5.5 points despite Lambeau Field, which we consider a lot. After 15 Lambeau wins in a row, we think it’s very unlikely that they’ll now be dealt two blows.
So for Green Bay against Dallas, the odds on Packers +5.5 are our No.1 betting option, followed by under points, as the stronger part of the team for both teams is the defence.
Green Bay Packers – Dallas Cowboys Tip
It almost looks a little bizarre that the Packers are 5.5 point underdogs at home at Lambeau Field. Of course, they haven’t been great on the road lately, but at least against the Lions they were also close to the end zone several times.
If they had made better use of their chances, they would have been much better lately, which is what we expect against Dallas now. Since they are always particularly well off, a tip on Green Bay +5.5 is our recommendation for Packers vs Cowboys. Also pure win bets on the Packers are still conceivable with a slightly higher risk.
There are certainly a few alternatives in this matchup: Under points, low points for both Dallas and Green Bay. However, we opt for Under 5 Touchdowns as a betting alternative, as this number is unlikely to be surpassed due to the Red Zone weakness of both teams.