Will Aaron Rodgers get the Packers back on track?

The Packers traditionally start poorly and still dominate the regular season. This season too? At least they did last season, when the Packers went 3-38 against the Saints on the first day and then put together the NFL’s best record.

In that respect, the 7:23 against the Vikings could already be seen as progress. However, it is not that simple, even if there are indeed some parallels. On Sunday against the Bears, they can definitely put this opening defeat straight and they should be able to do that.

The betting companies see them as the favourites with at least ten points, which we find very optimistic, especially since the Bears surprised positively on the first matchday. They are not as bad as they were rated before the season.

So our prediction for Packers vs. Bears is a Green Bay win, but one that should be limited in terms of points. Even last year when the Packers were really strong, Chicago scored 14 and 30 points against them and somewhere in between they should be again on Sunday.

Start of the divisional duel is Sunday night at 02:20 in Green Bay. The game can be watched live on DAZN.

Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form

There they were again, the matchday 1 Packers from last year. Once again they really had a black day to start the NFL. They followed that up with seven straight wins last year and ended up with a great 13-4 record.

We doubt they will be able to do the same this year, as the loss of Davante Adams has bled their offence in particular. They’ll still make the playoffs, but we don’t think they’ll lose three more games.

Packers will fight back

Nevertheless, we also think they will win Sunday night against the Bears. They’ve just handled them too well in recent years for that. They have won the last six duels – last year even with an average difference of 12.5 points.

However, it should not be that clear this year, as their defence is not quite at the same level as last year. Especially against the pass, they were extremely good with only 219.1 yards allowed.

Against the Vikings last Sunday, however, they allowed 277 yards and couldn’t get a grip on Justin Jefferson (184 yards). We’d be surprised if they can hold the Bears to under 14 points overall.

Odds make betting on Packers difficult

With odds of 1.24 or less, betting on Green Bay is not particularly lucrative and the -10 points handicap is a bit risky. To that end, even their running game around Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon wasn’t yet at the level to destroy other defenses.

Neither of them scored more than 50 yards via the run and the Bears’ run defence is not to be underestimated. That makes the odds on a couple of Bears points our favourite betting option on Packers vs Bears. Because we definitely expect them to score more than 13 points.

Key Players:
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Aaron Jones
WR: Sammy Watkins
TE: Robert Tonyan
K: Mason Crosby

Chicago Bears – Statistics & current form

First game day – first win. And that even against the higher rated San Francisco 49ers. It was a start to the season as they imagined it in Chicago and it also already takes considerable pressure off the team, especially young quarterback Justin Fields.

Of course, the rain delay was to the Bears’ advantage, as an orderly passing game was hardly possible. But even these games have to be won first. So the Bears now travel to Green Bay with a broad chest, where they have looked anything but good recently.

Mooney and Kmet not even used properly yet

The other amazing thing about the Bears’ win over the weekend was that their two most dangerous rated pass receivers, Darnell Monney and Cole Komet, were virtually not involved at all in the success.

Wide receiver Mooney caught one pass for eight yards and tight end Kmet was not thrown to at all. So there is more potential in the team that can be called upon. EQ St. Brown has also emerged as another wide receiver who could work in Chicago.

The German-American should be particularly motivated against his former club from Green Bay. So there’s a lot of power in this offence, which also has two very different and thus well-matched running backs in Montgomery and Herbert.

A few points should already be in it

With Justin Fields also performing well (28 rushing yards against the 49ers), we think their offense is well equipped. Last year’s game in Green Bay was a true shootout, which the Bears lost 30-45. But that alone shows that they at least know how to score at Lambeau Field.

For Green Bay vs. Chicago, a bet on over 13 Bears points is not too much of a risk for us. That’s just two touchdowns. Should it not come to another rain match, which we do not assume, then this bet is absolutely recommended.

Key Players:
QB: Justin Fields
RB: David Montgomery
WR: Darnell Mooney
TE: Cole Kmet
K: Cairo Santos

Green Bay Packers – Chicago Bears Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The last six duels against Green Bay the Bears lost and in three of the six cases also by more than ten points difference. But this year’s Packers are not quite as high as last year’s, which should give Chicago at least a little hope.

Still: We too expect a Packers win in the end, although the question is whether it will be that high again. Whoever puts up 19 points in abstruse conditions against the 49ers can also be expected to score 14 points in good conditions against the Packers.

In this respect, a bet on the Bears to score more points is a great option for Green Bay against Chicago. For us, this option is also better than handicap points on either team. The -10 per Green Bay is pretty much the number it could end up settling at – making it barely bettable.

Green Bay Packers – Chicago Bears Tip

How high do the Packers win? That’s roughly the question the bookies are asking and we’re going with it too. Although we don’t see Chicago as completely without a chance here – especially after their strong win against San Francisco.

Thus, in Packers vs Bears, the betting odds on some Bears points look more promising than many handicap options. Over-points (Over 41.5) are also possible, though the Packers offense still stumbled a bit too much for that on Game Day 1.

Alternatively, a touchdown by AJ Dillon can also be envisaged in this duel. He was surprisingly both the running back with the most carries against the Vikings and the most wanted pass receiver for Aaron Rodgers.