Will the Chiefs make another run at the conference crown?

The last regular season day of the NFL is here and with it numerous decisions will be made on a single weekend. In the Broncos’ game against the Chiefs, however, only one team still has something at stake: Kansas City.

They can still clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC with a little help from the Texans, even though they let their trump card slip away with the home loss to the Bengals. Still, if either of these teams is still highly motivated on Saturday, it’s the Chiefs.

The question is, of course, to what extent the Broncos want to or can hold their own against them. Based on the prerequisites alone, we are already assuming a clear success for Patrick Mahomes and Co.

However, because the Chiefs could spare their starters if they have a certain lead, it is difficult to predict the margin of victory. For Broncos vs. Chiefs, our prediction is that the Broncos will put up a score or two towards the end of the game.

Kickoff of the first of two Saturday games of NFL Match Week 18 is Saturday night at 22.30 in Denver. The game can be watched live on DAZN.

Denver Broncos – Statistics & current form

The Broncos ended up being one of the disappointments of the season again – and that after a 3-0 start. But what came after that was more bad than good and so another missing of the postseason is already certain before the last matchday.

However, the fact that they were able to set highlights every now and then this season shows that they theoretically already have it in them. The 30:16 against Dallas, for example, or the 28:13 against LA – both victories against playoff teams

Inconsistency the only constant

However, especially after such successes, there were always immediate setbacks in their game. With the exception of the start of the season, they never played more than one good game in a row, and their opponents were the Giants, Jaguars and Jets. Three of the weakest teams in the league.

Therefore, there is not much to suggest that they will be able to give the Chiefs a fight on equal terms on Saturday. Not even their defence, which still ranks among the top 3 with 18.4 points allowed per game.

But even they seem to have given up by now, as the 34 points conceded last time against the Chargers prove. Against Kansas City, they also run the risk of conceding a large number of counter points.

Broncos with “nothing to lose” attitude?

Maybe this lack of pressure will work in their favour and they can at least come up with a nice big play or two. Especially if the Chiefs should spare their starters in the end, there is hope for that.

Therefore, we also expect a higher-scoring game than the betting providers and would recommend a bet on Chiefs + Over points for Denver vs. Kansas City.

Key Players:
QB: Drew Lock
RB: Melvin Gordon
WR: Courtland Sutton
TE: Noah Fant
K: Brandon McManus

Kansas City Chiefs – stats & recent form

The Chiefs lost again and gave away the perfect starting position in the AFC. If the Titans beat the Texans on Sunday, the Chiefs would have to play in the Wild Card round.

That was a setback, especially as it exposed the weaknesses in the Chiefs’ game. Their secondary is simply one of the weakest in the league. At 256.3 yards per game, they allow the fifth most of any NFL team here.

Defense vulnerable against the pass

This could be bitter especially in the playoffs, especially if it comes to a matchup with top quarterbacks (Chargers, Bengals, Packers). The road to the Super Bowl has therefore not become any shorter.

Against the Broncos, however, this weakness should not come into play, as they currently only have Drew Lock as their backup QB and are also a rather weak team in the passing game.

How long will the starters play on Saturday?

This really only raises the question of how quickly the Chiefs will take a lead and by how much. If they already lead by a clear double-digit margin at half-time, then we can well imagine Mahomes, Kelce and Co. getting a break.

Then again, betting on a high handicap is risky, which is why we prefer another betting option. For Broncos vs. Chiefs, odds on Kansas City + Over 44.5 are our choice, as we don’t expect any really tough defence anymore – on both sides – in addition to a Chiefs win.

Key Players:
QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
WR: Tyreek Hill
TE: Travis Kelce
K: Harrison Butker

Denver Broncos – Kansas City Chiefs Head-to-head / H2H record

There’s another reason why the Broncos’ chances are trending towards zero on Saturday despite home field advantage. All twelve of the last direct duels have gone to Kansas City, including the last six in Denver.

This makes the Chiefs one of Denver’s absolute fears and even a close game would be a big surprise. Thus, bets on Kansas City are recommended in every respect. The only question is in what combination.

This is where over-points come into play, as the Chiefs have always scored over 30 points in their last four games, averaging as much as 37.25. This makes the odds on over 44.5 more than just good bets on Broncos vs. Chiefs.

Denver Broncos – Kansas City Chiefs Tip

The Chiefs are one of the hottest teams in the league offensively despite their last loss to Cincinnati. With something at stake for them as well, they will be playing with their regulars for at least long stretches. That’s a big advantage for Kansas City.

How high their success will ultimately be, however, depends on Denver’s resistance, which is difficult to predict. Therefore, for Denver against Kansas City, a bet on Chiefs + Over 44.5 is the clear betting recommendation of our choice, as this is a number the Chiefs can almost single-handedly reach.

Alternatively, bets on the Chiefs to score a lot of points are also possible. As already mentioned above, they have scored 37.25 points per game in the last four games and against a Broncos team that is no longer 100% motivated, some points should also be possible again. For this you can pick up betting odds around 1.80 in the game Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City.