Waiting for a shootout in the duel of two disappointments?
The domestic scales are crooked and that probably applies to a certain extent to both teams, which duel next weekend in the seventh NFL game day at Empower Field at Mile High. There, the Denver Broncos and Green Bay Packers will meet – and making a prediction on which team can stop the losing streak is proving to be difficult.
Earlier on Thursday, the team from the “Mile High City” had to face off in week six, losing for the 16th straight time to division rival Kansas City in the Thursday Night Game. With just one win from six games, the new coaching staff is already under a lot of pressure.
The Packers, on the other hand, were allowed two weeks to prepare for the Colorado game as they are fresh off their bye week. After a solid start to the season with two wins and a loss, they lost to the Lions and Raiders before the break. Now, they still go into the away game slightly favored and so between the Broncos and Packers, the win odds for the visitors are a maximum of 1.87.
Denver Broncos – statistics & current form
The statements that head coach Sean Payton made about his predecessor at the Denver Broncos are slowly but surely flying around his ears. Among other things, he said, mutatis mutandis, before the season started that Nathaniel Hackett hadn’t made enough of the team’s potential. However, his own success after the first third of the season is also more than manageable.
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When looking at the performance so far, it is lacking in many places, and so the only win jumped out only against the Chicago Bears. Some of the defensive performances were disastrous – and not just because of the 70 points the team conceded against Miami. 440.3 average yards allowed to opposing offenses means 32nd place in that statistic, and it’s no surprise that this unit also ranks last in that category with 33.3 points per game.
The offense has had solid performances at times, though the performance against the Chiefs recently cannot be counted among them. Against a strong defense, quarterback Russell Wilson managed just 95 passing yards and the offense totaled 197 total yards. A major part in the running game was shouldered by the recovered Javonte Williams, who will now face a below-average run defense in the upcoming matchup. When the Broncos host the Packers, a prediction that he will record the fifth NFL touchdown of his career is entirely possible.
At 200.3 yards passing, this unit ranks in the lower midfield of the league, though Wilson can’t complain about not having enough touchdowns. There are three receivers who have recorded more than 200 receiving yards so far, and there are already twelve receiving touchdowns. They also have three rushing touchdowns, which puts them at an average of 2.5 touchdowns. Between the Broncos and Packers, a bet on more than two successful end zone visits by the hosts brings tremendous value.
Key Players:
- QB: Russell Wilson
- RB: Javonte Williams
- WR: Courtland Sutton
- TE: Greg Dulcich
- K: Wil Lutz
Green Bay Packers – stats & recent form
The good mood after the 2-1 start in Wisconsin is gone. With the current 2-3 record, the Green Bay franchise is already three wins behind the Lions in the NFC North and that has reduced their chances of making the playoffs to 31 percent. Jordan Love’s first year as starting quarterback has resembled a roller coaster ride.
Love’s solid performances in the first few games of the season were followed by a slump of sorts. He now stands at six interceptions, three of which he threw against the Raiders alone. The fact that the offense – despite the return of number one receiver Christian Watson – is not performing as well as it did in the first few weeks is primarily due to the offensive line. There, the construction sites are huge due to injury concerns. That also has a noticeable effect on the run game.
There is too little going on the ground
Making matters worse, superstar running back Aaron Jones has only been able to play in two of the five games this season and is also projected to be questionable for the Broncos-Packers game. His backup AJ Dillon is running for an average of 1.4 yards per run attempt less than Jones. With those stats, it’s less surprising that two of the only four rushing touchdowns are to the 24-year-old quarterback’s credit.
The offense put 22.6 points per game on the scoreboard, while the defense allowed the same amount of points on average. In addition, the “Cheeseheads” stand at a touchdown ratio of 13:12. Defensively, the team, which has invested numerous resources in this unit in recent years, should actually have their strength, but especially the rushing defense is sometimes badly holey with 143.4 yards allowed.
Key Players:
- QB: Jordan Love
- RB: AJ Dillion
- WR: Christian Watson
- TE: Luke Musgrave
- K: Anders Carlson
Denver Broncos – Green Bay Packers head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The most legendary duel between these two teams took place in Super Bowl XXXII in 1998. Back then, Denver prevailed 31-24 with John Elway at quarterback. Since then, there have been six games in which Green Bay has won four, but only once – in 2007 – in the Mile High City.
Will it be as high-scoring as the bookmakers expect, who set the over/under limit at 44.5 points? In the six games played since 1999, that limit would have been cracked just once.
Denver Broncos – Green Bay Packers Tip
Due to both teams’ fragile defenses, we are leaning towards at least 45 points finding their way onto the scoreboard for the first time since 2011 when the Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers play. That’s exactly why we’re additionally betting on Matt LeFleur’s team to put at least 22 points on the scoreboard, which also brings great betting odds between Broncos and Packers.
From our analysis it is already clear that we basically go along with the slight favorite position of the guests and as indicated at the beginning, there is also good value to be picked up there.
