Will the Cowboys remain a force at home?
It’s playoff time – and for the Dallas Cowboys that doesn’t necessarily mean the best of experiences in recent years. The fact that our Cowboys vs Packers betting tip is now against the team that they have lost nine of their last ten games against is not necessarily encouraging.
However, the Boys are at home in AT&T Stadium, where they have won 8-0 this season. So there are pros and cons in this game and Dak Prescott will have to show that he is not in the MVP discussion for nothing this season
The Cowboys are only 4-4 against teams with a positive record this season. Nevertheless, they are naturally the favorites going into this game, although the 7.5-point handicap already seems like a lot – which doesn’t exactly make picks any easier.
So our prediction for Cowboys vs Packers is a close game that could go either way. However, we don’t expect the Boys to deliver another fireworks display with well over 30 points of their own.
Kick-off of this Wild Card Game is on Sunday at 10:30 pm in Dallas. The game can be watched live on RTL and DAZN.
Dallas Cowboys – Statistics & current form
The Cowboys have won the AFC East after all, continuing a streak that has seen the same team fail to win it twice in a row for 19 years. Their reward: a playoff game against the strong Green Bay Packers.
If they had only finished second, they would have had a much easier time against the Buccaneers, but a new banner under the stadium roof makes up for it. Nevertheless, they now have to prepare for their fearsome opponents, as they have only won one of their last ten games against the Packers.
Cowboys still with red zone weakness
For the playoffs now, they have to get a few weaknesses under control if they want to get a little further than in recent years. On the one hand, of course, their weakness at home, but for Sunday already their problems in the red zone.
With a TD percentage of 56.34% in the red zone, they are only 14th in the league – and if it weren’t for the many blowout wins against weaker teams, they would be much further down the table. Especially against top teams, they always weaken enormously in front of the end zone.
This was also the case two weeks ago in the last home game against the Lions. On top of that, they also conceded 420 total yards and three sacks. This game will be one to watch for the Packers, as it showed that the Boys are vulnerable in AT&T Stadium as well
Tips on Dallas are a bit risky
We also see their handicap of up to -7.5 points as a little too high. The Cowboys have won two of their last three home games by just one touchdown difference or less. A closer game than the oddsmakers are predicting is not unlikely here.
As such, the odds on a blowout win for the Boys in Cowboys vs Packers are more likely to be avoided. We even go so far as to favor a bet on Cowboys under 30 points, as Green Bay has only conceded more than 30 points twice this season.
Key Players:
- QB: Dak Prescott
- RB: Tony Pollard
- WR: CeeDee Lamb
- TE: Jake Ferguson
- K: Brandon Aubrey
Green Bay Packers – stats & current form
Who would have thought midway through the season that the Packers would make the playoffs after all? Most experts certainly didn’t. But a clear improvement in performance – including from quarterback Jordan Love – has made this possible.
Everything that comes next is an encore for the young team, which is a very dangerous starting position for Dallas. Because the Packers are hot, as the pictures from the locker room after the playoff entry have shown. This means that two teams that are both in good form will meet on Sunday evening
Shootout or low scoring game?
It’s not so easy to predict whether this good form will lead to a lot of points or whether the two strong defenses will put their stamp on the game. A 20-19 score like in Dallas’ last home game against Detroit could be a good indication of the final result.
This already shows that the Packers could keep the game close, which in turn makes it possible to bet on the Packers at excellent odds for Dallas vs. However, this is not our betting favorite for one simple reason: Green Bay still has a very young team and quarterback Jordan Love is playing his very first playoff game
Love is the linchpin of the Packers
Whether the Packers have a chance in the end will depend above all on the performance of Jordan Love. If he convinces with the efficiency of the last few weeks, then an upset is definitely possible – especially since their defense has improved in the last two games.
They only allowed ten points against the Vikings and just nine against the Bears. Although the Cowboys are much better offensively than these two teams, we do not expect them to reach the 30-point mark against the emerging Packers defense.
On average, the Packers defense only allows 20.6 points. Thus, the odds on under 30 Cowboys points in Dallas vs. Green Bay are playable. However, the same applies to under bets on touchdowns, as the bookmakers are setting the odds quite high at 5-6 touchdowns.
Key Players:
- QB: Jordan Love
- RB: Aaron Jones
- WR: Christian Watson
- TE: Luke Musgrave
- K: Anders Carlson
Dallas Cowboys – Green Bay Packers head-to-head comparison / H2H record
We have already discussed one point that definitely speaks in favor of Green Bay: the direct record. Nine of the last ten duels went to the Packers. Green Bay has even won the Cowboys’ last four home games.
The last clash in the playoffs in 2017 in Dallas also went to Green Bay 34:31, with a blatant mistake by the referees (the famous Dez Bryant no-catch) also causing the Cowboys to lose. Cowboys fans in particular will certainly still have this in the back of their minds and will be pushing their team forward.
For this reason, betting on Green Bay is not without risk, even though an upset is certainly in the air in this matchup. Nevertheless, a bet on under 30 Cowboys points or an obligatory CeeDee Lamb touchdown is definitely a better play for Dallas against Green Bay
Dallas Cowboys – Green Bay Packers betting tip
The Cowboys play at home, but the Packers play against their favorite opponent besides the Bears. However, Jordan Love has never played against the Cowboys and the game on Sunday night stands or falls with him.
In this respect, winning bets are not our main tip here. Rather, a bet on under 30 Dallas points is our No. 1 betting recommendation for Cowboys vs. Packers, because while the Packers’ defense has gotten better and better, the Cowboys’ offense has slowed down a bit in their last home games.
As an alternative, we also see a bet on over 3 field goals in this matchup. With Brandon Aubrey, the Cowboys have the best kicker in the NFL in their ranks and they use him extremely often (36 field goals already this season).
