Will Rodgers remain the king of Chicago?

The Chicago Bears belong to Aaron Rodgers. That was evident again in the first duel of the season in September. In all, Rodgers has won 23 times against division rivals. More than against any other team.

63 touchdowns he has already thrown against them and he averages a QB rating of 109.9. Impressive numbers that lead us to one question: Why would he and the Packers lose in Chicago next Sunday of all days?

After all, it is not yet clear whether Bears quarterback Justin Fields will be able to play. He dislocated his shoulder a fortnight ago and had to miss the last game against the Jets. Should he be able to play, he is certainly not at 100 %.

For these reasons, our prediction for Bears vs. Packers is another clear success for the Packers. They should show right from the start that they are Chicago’s fearful opponent. A banged-up Rodgers is also clearly more dangerous in our eyes than a banged-up Fields.

Kickoff of this most traditional game of NFL Week 13 is Sunday at 7:00 pm in Chicago. The game can be watched live on ran.de and on DAZN’s ENDZN.

Chicago Bears – Statistics & current form

In the previous week, we assumed Justin Fields would suit up, come what may. He didn’t and that shows how serious his shoulder really was and probably still is. With a 3:9 record, it wouldn’t make much sense to force a call-up.

Therefore, we currently assume that he will not play. In the end, however, it doesn’t really matter. Because with or without Fields, the Bears will be the clear underdogs against the Packers.

Defense not supporting offense enough

The fact that the Bears already have three wins under their belt is thanks to their offense thawing out in some games. With 20.9 points and especially 191.0 rushing yards per game, Fields, Montgomery and Co. have shown time and again what they are capable of.

But since not even 29, 30 or 32 points were enough to win (Cowboys, Lions, Dolphins), we have to take a look at their defence. This is where things go wrong. Their defence allows an average of 25.4 points – the sixth most in the NFL.

You don’t win many games like that as a team in the league. They also recently traded away linebacker Roquan Smith, which shouldn’t help their stability. They only had one sack against the Jets last time out.

Picks better than wins

That won’t change against the Packers now and one thing should be clear: If they give Aaron Rodgers too much time, he’ll destroy them again. For better or worse, that’s the way it’s going to be, but hardly anyone in the front office in particular will be sad about it.

At this point in the season, all eyes are already on the next draft, where a top-3 pick beckons. For this reason, too, the odds on the away team are definitely to be favoured in Chicago against Green Bay. Whether with a handicap or as a half-time/final result bet – both options are very possible.

Key Players:
QB: Justin Fields
RB: David Montgomery
WR: Darnell Mooney
TE: Cole Kmet
K: Cairo Santos

Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form

4:8 What do you do in Green Bay now with a record like that? From the general manager’s point of view, it would probably make the most sense to tick off the season and look towards the draft. But someone please explain that to Aaron Rodgers.

He hates to lose and has already announced during the week that he not only wants to play despite injury, but also wants to win. He especially likes to play against the Bears anyway. His record of 23-5 is also better than against any other team he has played at least four times.

Are we still heading for the playoffs?

The only hope currently keeping the flame burning in Green Bay is the glaring weakness of the NFC. Since it can’t be assumed that everyone in the NFC East will keep such positive records (since there are many duels against each other from now on), even an 8:9 record could be enough for the postseason in the end.

But that also means the margin for error is small. One more defeat and the chances would be minimal, two more and the oven would be off. But we know Aaron Rodgers and he showed just recently against the Cowboys that he is at his strongest when his back is against the wall.

Offense showing signs of life lately

After all, the Packers scored 31 points against the strong Boys defence – and 33 against the equally weak Eagles on Sunday night. That shows that something is slowly developing offensively and that the connection with Christian Watson is getting better and better.

That alone, and the better defence against Chicago, will be enough to secure an unchallenged away win on Sunday. So for Bears vs Packers a bet on a start-finish victory Green Bay is one of our preferred betting options.

Key Players:
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Aaron Jones
WR: Christian Watson
TE: Robert Tonyan
K: Mason Crosby

Chicago Bears – Green Bay Packers Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

This head-to-head comparison reads like a real nightmare from a Bears perspective. 12 of the last 13 duels went to the Packers, including the last seven in a row. The last five games also ended with Green Bay holding at least a ten-point margin of victory.

So the -3.5 to -4.5 that the bookmakers are giving them for Sunday is almost an invitation to bet. Because it is unlikely that the Packers will lose against these battered Bears.

So there are plenty of odds to take advantage of on Bears vs Packers. Half-time/final score, handicap bets or even tips on Green Bay scoring over 24 points. That number should be easy against a defense that is running on fumes.

Chicago Bears – Green Bay Packers Tip

We have listed many reasons in this article and they are all pro Green Bay. Rodgers’ record, their better defence or even the possible loss of Justin Fields on the Bears’ side.

Thus, this game is one where we recommend betting the most this week. For Chicago vs. Green Bay, a bet on half-time/final score Packers is our No. 1, because already in the first duel in September they led against Chicago at half-time with 24:7.

But as an alternative, bets on a touchdown by Christian Watson are also playable. He has caught six touchdown passes in his last three games and has become Aaron Rodgers’ most popular touchdown target.