Do the Bills show their dominant side again?
Last season, the New York Giants were still one of the positive surprises in the NFL. Quite unexpectedly, the franchise from the Big Apple not only made the playoffs, but also celebrated a success against the Vikings in the Wildcard Round. It was not until the Divisional Round that the team lost out to the eventual Super Bowl participants from Philadelphia. That the team of head coach Brian Daboll can now repeat this success, seems, as of now, impossible.
With a dismal record of just one win from five games, NYG currently sit at the bottom of the NFC East standings. To make matters worse, the four-time NFL champions must travel to Highmark Stadium in the Sunday Night Game, where the home-standing Buffalo franchise will be looking to make amends after a disappointing London Game the previous week. The Bills vs. Giants betting odds alone on the two-way market show that the best bookmakers are really only asking themselves how much success Josh Allen and Co. will have.
It should be mentioned at this point that the odds for a Bills vs. Giants bet can still change until the night from Sunday to Monday German time. Background is the not final clarified injury status of Giants quarterback Daniel Jones, whose use is on the line. But running back Barkley could possibly return to the team. However, the Bills’ distinct and understandable role as favorites will not change.
Buffalo Bills – statistics & current form
The Buffalo Bills have shown two faces so far this season. On the one hand, the co-favorite for the Super Bowl has already won three matches, but on the other hand, there have already been two defeats. They started the season with a 16-22 overtime loss to the Jets, before coach Sean McDermott’s team was brought back down to earth after three straight wins in the London Game the previous week.
Against the Jaguars, who were not necessarily brimming with confidence, Buffalo lost surprisingly with 20:25 and could not even come close to the great performance of the 48:20 victory (!) against the Dolphins. The Blue Devils committed eleven penalties and Josh Allen did not have the best day with two touchdowns and an interception. Although the defense, especially the quarterback hunters, did a decent job, the loss was the result, which ensures that the Bills are currently only second in the AFC East behind Miami (4-1).
Fifth straight game with Gabe Davis touchdown?
Hope for a successful fightback on Sunday night, however, is the fact that the “Bullets” have now returned from the English capital and can once again rely on home field advantage.
This can be considered important in that Buffalo has dominated the two previous home games at will. Against the Raiders it was a 38:10, against the Dolphins the aforementioned 48:20. In particular, the offense is regularly in top form in front of the home crowd, which can sometimes be used as an argument to give a forecast of over 44.5 points in the duel of the Bills against the Giants.
We expect Josh Allen to have another very superior performance. In terms of passing yards, the Bills currently field a top four offense. The only thing that doesn’t really want to work is the running game. James Cook, after a solid start, is lagging behind expectations and even caused a loss of space (-4 yards) on his five attempts against the Jaguars. That will make it all the more important that the outstanding receiver duo of Diggs/Davis deliver. Gabe Davis, in particular, is fast becoming an NFL superstar. He has now caught a touchdown in four consecutive matches. If this streak continues this weekend, the odds between the Bills and the Giants could be in the 2.75 range.
Predicted Buffalo Bills lineup:
No information available.
New York Giants – statistics & current form
As a New York Giants fan, you have to be tough these weeks. Your favorite team offers not only playful lean cuisine, but also had to take one or the other heavy defeat. The 0:40 loss to division rival Dallas on the first day of the season remains unforgotten. In total, the team has won just one match and lost four. On average, the four matches mentioned were lost by a difference of 23.5 points!
The Giants’ deficits are complex. First and foremost, however, the O-Line has to take harsh criticism so far. Quarterback Daniel Jones is under constant pressure. In the previous week’s 16-31 loss to the Dolphins, he was sacked seven times. Despite 36 minutes of possession, the Giants didn’t even get to 200 passing yards and couldn’t find a solution on the ground with 85 yards against the mediocre Miami defense. With 12.4 points scored on average, NY represents the second weakest scoring offense in the NFL.
Without Daniel Jones and with Saquon Barkley?
Whether short-term improvement is in sight can’t really be answered at the moment, because to make matters worse, coach Brian Daboll’s team is now dealing with injury problems. Quarterback Daniel Jones is questionable after injuring his neck last week. Admittedly, given the playmaker’s current condition, it wouldn’t be much of a loss at all should backup Tyrod Taylor take over.
Much more influential and significant, however, is the Saquon Barkley personnel situation. The running back has been out for three games due to injury, but could now return to the team and give the offense a different quality, at least in the running game. The potential comeback of Barkley is in our eyes also one of the reasons why we speculate on over 44.5 points in the duel of the Bills against the Giants. It’s quite possible that the Giants will improve a bit offensively, find good solutions and still (clearly) lose out in the end.
Predicted lineup of New York Giants:
No available information.
Buffalo Bills – New York Giants head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Four years have passed since the Bills and the Giants last faced each other. New York still had Eli Manning at quarterback. At MetLife Stadium, Buffalo, with Coach McDermott at the helm and Josh Allen leading the team as playmaker, prevailed 28-14. Meanwhile, the previous two matchups in 2015 and 2011 went to the Giants. However, the head-to-head does not have a serious impact on the Bills vs. Giants prediction for Week 6.
Buffalo Bills – New York Giants Prediction
It is hard to imagine a more clear-cut starting position in an NFL match than in the duel between the Buffalo Bills and the NY Giants. The Super Bowl co-favorites from Buffalo are given 14 points as a handicap to compensate for the qualitative advantages. However, this also means that on the two-way market, the Bills vs. Giants odds clearly swing in the direction of the home side.
This pronounced favoritism can be determined by several points. While New York has only won one of five matches, the Bills have three wins and two losses. In addition, McDermott’s team is not only stronger defensively and offensively, but also in much better shape. We have no doubt that Josh Allen and Co. will leave the field as winners.
Despite this, our preferred approach between the Bills and the Giants is to bet on at least 45 points in the game. In both of Buffalo’s home games so far, such a bet would have gone through. The Bills are one of the most dominant and best offensive teams in the league and with the outstanding receiver duo of Davis/Diggs, the Bullets will also pose regular problems for the franchise from the Big Apple.
