Are the Bills finding their form again?

Are the Bills perhaps not as strong as everyone thought in the end? After two straight losses, they have slipped to 5th in the Power Rankings, at least, and now have a record of just 6-3 wins.

The Browns would be very happy with that record, though, as they are only 3-6 themselves. After a statement win against the Bengals, they immediately suffered another drubbing against Miami. As is so often the case with Cleveland this season – consistency is nowhere to be found

In Buffalo, it’s almost the last chance for the Browns to fight for a playoff spot. In the much stronger AFC, they would be so far behind with a 3-7 record that even Deshaun Watson would soon be unable to do anything.

He is already training with the team again, but is not yet eligible to play after his suspension. It will be difficult without him. We are expecting a slightly recovered Browns team, but are predicting a Bills win in Buffalo vs. Cleveland.

Kickoff of the sparkling AFC duel is on Sunday at 7:00 pm in Buffalo. The game can be watched live on ENDZN on DAZN.

Buffalo Bills – Statistics & current form

Two losses in a row. The Bills haven’t had that since December of last year and the last two defeats came as a surprise. They were also extremely unnecessary. Against Minnesota they already led by 17 points.

But then the Bills got sloppy again and quarterback Josh Allen also made mistakes that were unheard of from him. He doesn’t normally throw interceptions without being rushed. Does this mean the Bills and Allen are in a crisis already?

Crisis not apparent

We say no. Because both of the last defeats were due to individual mistakes and both also came with only a three-point difference. However, it is worrying that Buffalo have lost in close games in nine of the last eleven.

So their nerves of steel don’t seem to be doing too well. And they often just don’t have the luck to play. This catch, which Jefferson managed at 4 and 17 against them on Sunday, is actually only caught by him and that only on one of ten attempts.

Defence still the showpiece

Defensively in particular, they shouldn’t be too worried about the Bills, even though a team has now managed to put up 33 points against them after overtime. Overall, they still have the second-best defence in the NFL, allowing 16.8 points per game.

Their offence is a little more difficult. The Jets, and to some extent the Vikings, have shown that you can contain the Bills if you pressure Allen hard. To have a plan B there, Buffalo hasn’t been able to get the running game rolling enough despite a newly added Nyheim Hines.

As a result, the odds on Buffalo vs. Cleveland are already in the borderline betting range with the Bills leading by 8-9 points. Since we also believe Cleveland will score at least two touchdowns, a bet on both teams scoring 15 points at good value is more playable for us.

Key Players:
QB: Josh Allen
RB: Devin Singletary
WR: Stefon Diggs
TE: Dawson Knox
K: Tyler Bass

Cleveland Browns – Statistics & current form

The Browns are the Browns remain the Browns. A dominant victory is usually followed by a crushing defeat and this is not really explainable. Above all, their defence, which is good on paper, just can’t get it right when it comes to consistently slowing teams down.

They conceded a hard 39 points against the Dolphins – far too many to even have a chance of winning. At 26.4 points per game, they are now already conceding the second most of any team. Only the Lions’ revolving door is worse here.

Do the Browns strike back again?

Will they do it again? I wouldn’t put it past the team around running back Nick Chubb. Whether this will be enough for a win against the Bills is still questionable, as they can play just as fast offensively as Miami.

Another high-scoring game is therefore not out of the question. Bets on over-points are therefore our first tip recommendation. Especially since the oddsmakers are also betting extremely low at 43.0. The even better alternative, however, is a bet that both teams will score at least 15 points.

The Browns should easily be able to achieve this number, as they have done so in each of their nine games so far. The odds of up to 2.05 on this bet are surprisingly high for Bills vs Browns. This is the place to be.

Chubb a guarantor for points

Even though Nick Chubb only scored 63 rushing yards last Sunday, which is well below his average, he was again successful with a touchdown. With already eleven touchdowns and usually over 100 yards, he single-handedly ensures that the Browns’ scoring output is never too low.

Another reason to believe they will score at least 15 points again on Sunday. Alternatively, of course, we can take advantage of this statistic by betting on a TD from Chubb, although that might be a little more difficult against a good Bills defence.

Key Players:
QB: Jacoby Brissett
RB: Nick Chubb
WR: Amari Cooper
TE: David Njoku
K: Cade York

Buffalo Bills – Cleveland Browns Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The direct comparison should also give the Browns a little encouragement. In the last ten duels, the score is 5:5 and Cleveland also won the last comparison by a narrow margin.

Nevertheless, the Bills are still the favourites and if not too much goes wrong, they should win the game – especially at home. Away from home, Cleveland has a not so great 1-3 record this season.

We don’t expect a blowout on Sunday, though, because Cleveland have too much at stake. If they go down again, even head coach Kevin Stefanski’s job is in jeopardy. That’s why we see a tip on Buffalo -8.5 for Bills vs. Browns as possible, but not as our first recommendation.

Buffalo Bills – Cleveland Browns Tip

The Bills should win this game, but the question is by how much. Of their last seven games, five have been one-score games, three of which they also lost. Now that the Browns aren’t a crap team, it should be back to at least a single-digit lead.

Thus, we have to look for other odds for Bills vs Browns. We find these with bets on both teams scoring at least 15 points. There’s no question about that for the Bills, and the Browns have also managed that mark in every single one of their nine games so far this season.

Alternatively, we’ve already put another bet into play: a Nick Chubb touchdown. He now has eleven touchdowns in nine games, which equates to an average of 1.22 touchdowns per game.