There couldn’t be a better final at Wimbledon after the sensational match in Paris, where Jannik and Carlos (who won in the fifth set) played what was perhaps the most spectacular match in the history of tennis in the Open era: the rematch on grass at Wimbledon, where the Spaniard will be looking to win his third title and break Bjorn Borg’s record. Let’s find out the predictions and odds for Sinner-Alcaraz, scheduled for Sunday, July 13, at 5 p.m.
SINNER-ALCARAZ PREDICTION ODDS— For the first time, Sinner has reached the Wimbledon final, his “childhood dream, when I watched tennis on television”: a milestone achieved thanks to his clear victory over Djokovic in the semifinals. The Serb was beaten again in three sets, 6-3, 6-3, 6-4, at the end of a perfect match: it was the world number one’s fifth consecutive victory against Djokovic, a feat previously achieved only by Rafa Nadal between 2008 and 2011.
Jannik has already beaten Alcaraz on the center court of the All England Club in 2022, which is also the Spaniard’s last defeat on the London grass: the Italian won in four sets, 6-1, 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, effectively opening a sensational rivalry that is destined to last. Since the Italian returned to the court after a three-month suspension, we are already at the third final between the two: Alcaraz won in Rome (in a clear victory) and in Paris.
According to the bookies, given the recent history between the two players (5-0 to Carlos), Sinner is the underdog: he is priced at 2.10 on Goldbet and 2.05 on Gazzabet and Snai. Carlos’ victory, on the other hand, is offered at 1.77 by Snai, 1.75 by Gazzabet, and 1.74 by Goldbet.
ALCARAZ ON THE HUNT FOR THE TRIPLE— The world number two has reached his third consecutive Wimbledon final, his 20th straight victory since 2023, beating American Fritz in four sets (6-4, 5-7, 6-3, 7-6). In total, the Spaniard has dropped five sets before the challenge against Sinner, proving that he is in great shape to play on grass. His sights are obviously set on his sixth Slam title, his third at Wimbledon. The Spaniard only needs the Australian Open to complete his collection, a title that has belonged to Sinner for the last two years.
PREVIOUS ENCOUNTERS FOR THE SPANIARD— The Spaniard has a clear advantage in previous ATP encounters: he leads 8-4, including a clean 5-0 in the last five matches. Carlos has won in Indian Wells, Beijing, Rome, and Paris (twice): will the world number two manage to extend his winning streak? It will depend on Sinner’s performance, the eleventh player in the Open era to play at least one final in all four Slams on the ATP calendar. When analyzing the predictions and odds for Sinner-Alcaraz, consider the possibility of Jannik winning the first set: this outcome is offered at 1.95 by Goldbet, 1.93 by Gazzabet, and 1.92 by Snai.
