Can Chelsea defend fourth place?
On Sunday, FC Brentford will face FC Chelsea in the English Premier League. The better chances of winning seem to lie with the away team, because with a squad value of €922 million, the Blues have a clear advantage individually. By way of comparison, the Bees’ entire squad has a market value of only €417 million – that’s almost 55% less. This will also be one of the reasons why the Brentford v Chelsea odds favor a win for the away team.
In our Brentford v Chelsea prediction, we now want to check how likely a win for the away team really is, starting with the home and away record of the two teams. This is where the first contradiction arises, because at home, the Bees (24) were able to collect more points than the Blues away from home (21). For this reason alone, Thomas Frank’s team should be able to count on something before this game. Coach Enzo Maresca’s star ensemble should be warned about this duel and, above all, be fully there.
In addition, the Bees can also fully keep up in the comparison of form and only gained two points less than their opponent from the last nine games. In addition, both teams only lost four games during this period, so we can assume an interesting match. So we have to go into much more detail to find a suitable Brentford vs. Chelsea tip for you.
Brentford – Statistics & current form
Brentford can be absolutely satisfied with the season so far. Thomas Frank’s team has 41 points after 30 league games and is thus in a secure mid-table position in the English top flight. In addition, the Bees have nothing more to do with the relegation battle and have already secured their place in the league. But there is no way they can get promoted this season either, as they are nine points behind the international places. So in the remaining eight games, the hosts will simply be aiming for the best possible finish. But the London derby will provide the necessary motivation, as the rivalry is also at stake.
Brentford can make an impact in offense
With 51 goals in 30 league games (Ø 1.70), the Bees even have one of the best offenses in the Premier League. Strictly speaking, only five teams – Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea and Tottenham – have scored more. Nevertheless, Thomas Frank’s team have been without a goal of their own seven times, meaning they have only found the way into the opposing team’s goal 77% of the time. At home, the rate is even slightly worse at just 73%. The curious thing, however, is that the home side score an average of two goals per home game – a fantastic figure!
Brentford with problems in defense
On the defensive side of things, things have been much worse than in offense so far, because with 47 goals conceded in 30 games (Ø 1.57), the home side are only ranked 15th in the league. Here, Thomas Frank’s team is on a par with the weakest teams in the league. Moreover, the Bees have kept a clean sheet only five times, conceding at least one goal in 83% of the league games. But it gets even more bitter, because at home the rate is 100%. A goal success for the Blues therefore seems almost set in stone.
Chelsea – Statistics & current form
Chelsea have improved significantly compared to last season (6th place) and are currently in 4th place. In addition, Enzo Maresca’s team already has 52 points to their name, which is only eleven points less than in the whole of last season. The Blues are therefore on a very good path to qualifying for the Champions League. However, nothing is certain yet, because with Manchester City, Newcastle United, Aston Villa and Brighton, four other teams still have realistic chances of finishing in fourth place. Liverpool, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest seem to have already secured their place in the premier league. A win against Brentford would therefore be extremely important.
With 54 goals in 30 games (Ø 1.80), the Blues have one of the best offenses in the Premier League. In a league-wide comparison, Enzo Maresca’s team is even in fifth place and is therefore difficult to defend against. In addition, the away team has only gone five times without scoring a goal of their own and has thus put the ball in the net in 83% of league games. However, the away goal difference is considerably worse at just 73%. One player stands out in particular: Cole Palmer. The Blues attacking midfielder has already scored 21 league goals, making him by far the most dangerous player in the squad. However, the youngster has not been performing at his best recently.
Blues with slight problems in defense
While there is little to criticize during the offensive, the guests’ defense has to put up with criticism from time to time. With 37 goals conceded in 30 games (Ø 1.23), Enzo Maresca’s team is not doing badly, but it is not at the same level as Liverpool (27) or Arsenal (25). In addition, the Blues have conceded in 77% of their league games and have only kept a clean sheet seven times. Away from home, Chelsea’s goalkeeper even conceded in 80% of games, so a clean sheet against Brentford is rather unlikely.
Brentford – Chelsea Direct comparison / H2H record
Apart from individual quality, there is not a single point that speaks for or against the two teams. The direct comparison does not change that, because although the Blues were able to win 50% of the duels (11), they only won one of the last six encounters. The Bees are therefore perfectly capable of annoying the supposed favorites. For us, this is another reason why the Brentford v Chelsea betting odds should be a little closer. Even a home win does not seem completely out of the question.
Brentford vs. Chelsea tip
At Brentford vs. Chelsea, the tip is therefore definitely on the option “both teams score” in connection with over 2.5 goals in the game. This is alluded to here at Merkur Bets. This is primarily because both teams thrive on their offensive play and rarely go without a goal. In addition, the supposed underdog has home advantage on its side and thus its own fans behind it. Especially in a derby, this can release additional energy. Furthermore, an average of 3.5 goals have been scored in the last two duels, so our line for the upcoming clash is by no means too risky.
Alternatively, you can also add the following Brentford v Chelsea quote to your betting slip: Chelsea will win one of the two halves. The difference in class between the two teams is simply undeniable, so the Blues should dominate this game for long periods of the 90 minutes. In addition, the Bees also have major problems in defense and will thus allow some chances. In the end, we therefore expect a narrow away win.
