Have the Gunners given up on the league?

The race for the starting places for the upcoming Champions League season is more exciting this season than it has been in a long time. There are just seven points between third and ninth place, so more than half a dozen teams can still see their chances of competing in the league phase of the premier class in 2025/26. The gap between the teams could even close further if a bet falls between Nottingham and Arsenal on Wednesday evening, with the surprise team coming from the East Midlands.

Currently, the two teams are separated by six points in the standings. So if Forest scores three points at home, even the runner-up spot would suddenly be a (theoretical) possibility for the “Garibaldi Reds”. In view of their recent form in front of their own fans, a certain probability of occurrence must actually be given to the host’s forecast before the top game between Nottingham and Arsenal.

However, the best bookmakers believe that the visitors from the capital will now strike back after Saturday’s bitter 1-0 defeat and secure second place behind league leaders Liverpool. For an away win in Nottingham, Arsenal are being offered odds of 1.96 at Winamax.

Nottingham – statistics & current form

Is Nottingham collapsing in the last third of the season? The provocative question alone suggests that Nuno Espirito Santo’s team have recently suffered a number of setbacks in the Premier League. While they only lost four games in the first 22 match days, it took just the last four match days to accumulate three more defeats.

In Bournemouth, at Fulham FC and at St. James Park in Newcastle at the weekend, the “Tricky Trees” lost each time. And that is precisely why the third-placed team are now only four points ahead of the team in seventh place, which may end up going completely empty-handed in terms of European Cup qualification at the end of this PL season.

Is Nottingham being passed through the tableau now?

The high number of goals conceded by the “Garibaldi Reds” recently is particularly worrying. They conceded 11 goals in the course of the aforementioned three defeats. There have been 13 goals conceded in the last five PL matches. Furthermore, a bet on Over 2.5 would have paid off five times in a row in the English top flight, which also yields appealing odds between Nottingham and Arsenal on Wednesday evening. At Interwetten, a whopping 2.05 can be snatched for at least three goals in the game, which also fully meets the Interwetten bonus conditions.

However, for the sake of completeness, a distinction must be made between home and away games. Fortunately for the surprise team, there is a midweek game on the agenda in front of their own fans. Nottingham have won five of their last six PL matches (one draw) and, with a record of seven wins, three draws and just two defeats, they continue to be among the best in the business. The “Tricky Trees” have only failed to score in a single home game this season. As a result, the betting odds on “both teams to score” between Nottingham and Arsenal are also of increased interest.

Arsenal – statistics & current form

The championship train for Arsenal Football Club seems to have left on Sunday. Because the Gunners unexpectedly lost their home game against basement dwellers West Ham United 1-0 the day before and the league leaders from Liverpool could easily complete the complicated task at the Etihad Stadium against Manchester City, the Reds’ cushion has now grown to ten points. Given the impressive consistency of the Slot team, it would take a miracle for Arteta’s team to be in with a chance of winning the league title again.

Arsenal loves the floodlit atmosphere in the evening

Statistically, at least, there is a lot to suggest that the Londoners will return to winning ways on Wednesday evening. On the one hand, because Arsenal have not lost two consecutive PL matches since December 2023. On the other hand, due to a remarkable record in games kicked off at 7:00 p.m. or later. They have won all 13 of their last 14 PL evening matches, including the last nine.

The Gunners’ away form is also impressive in the current year. Behind league leaders Liverpool, the capital city side have picked up the most points in away games. They have won seven of the 13 away games they have played (four draws, two defeats). They have not lost an away game in the English top flight since the beginning of November.

Despite Forest’s home strength, the double chance X2 between Nottingham and Arsenal could therefore serve as a foundation for a match combo. Incidentally, you can find a very user-friendly bet builder in the Betano app. With the Betano bonus code, you can also benefit from a €20 free bet.

It is also worth noting that in six of the last eight PL away games involving Arteta’s team, a bet on “both teams to score” would have been successful. Since mid-December, the Champions League round of 16 contenders have only conceded two clean sheets in PL away games and, according to the AI prediction for the premier league, are currently seen as the hottest contender for the trophy. Next week, the first leg against PSV Eindhoven continues. At the weekend, however, the gunners have a break from playing, as they have already been knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United. So the Spanish head coach of the Londoners does not have to take any consideration of load control on Wednesday.

Nottingham – Arsenal Head to Head / H2H record

For the head-to-head comparison, only the last five meetings since 2022 are actually relevant. Arsenal have won four of these five encounters. However, the Gunners had a tough time at City Ground, which was underlined by a narrow 2-1 win and a 1-0 defeat. The first leg in the current season, meanwhile, was a clear affair in favor of the second-placed team, who led 1-0 at half-time and ultimately had the upper hand by a clear margin of 3-0.

Nottingham – Arsenal Tip

In terms of the table, this is the absolute top game of the 27th matchday in the Premier League. Third place meets second. However, both teams suffered painful defeats at the weekend. As mentioned, Arsenal lost 0-1 against WHU while Nottingham lost 3-4 in Newcastle after conceding four goals in eleven minutes. The cards will be completely reshuffled on Wednesday evening, especially as the Gunners have looked more stable away from home recently and Forest have performed significantly better at home.

Match facts – Nottingham vs. Arsenal TIP

• Nottingham only went without a goal in one PL game this season
• In 6 of the last 8 Arsenal away games, both teams scored
• Nottingham conceded 13 goals in the last 5 games

For this very reason, I have decided to place a bet on both teams scoring in the game between Nottingham and Arsenal. Nevertheless, I see slight advantages for the Gunners, who often perform at their best in evening games and can exhaust themselves completely before a weekend without a game. At Winamax, my approach is quoted at 1.94. I am betting six units.