
The Reds want to stay on the gas pedal
Last weekend, Liverpool FC came a lot closer to the championship in England. Thanks to their 2-0 win at Manchester City and their closest rivals Arsenal’s 1-0 defeat, the Reds’ lead has already grown to ten points. Ahead of the midweek match and Liverpool’s clash against Newcastle, the tip for LFC to win the Premier League comes with odds of just 1.05 at the top.
Certainly, coach Arne Slot’s team would be well advised to keep their focus high and their flow. After all, the PL leaders still have big ambitions in the Champions League and the EFL Cup. Incidentally, the Magpies are also waiting in the final of the English League Cup in mid-March, so Wednesday night’s dress rehearsal may influence the Liverpool vs. Newcastle prediction for the title game at Wembley Stadium.
Judging by the first leg, fans at Anfield Road can look forward to a spectacular clash. At the beginning of December, the teams played out a curious 3-3 draw at St. James Park, with NUFC scoring a celebrated equalizer in injury time. If you are hoping for another draw, you can get odds of 4.60 at Betano before the Liverpool v Newcastle kick-off.
Liverpool – Statistics & current form
With twelve matchdays remaining in the Premier League season, everything points to Liverpool Football Club winning the English championship for the first time since 2020 and for the 20th time overall. The cushion of ten points looks very comfortable, especially since the Reds have only dropped 15 points (six draws, one loss) over the entire season. Their goal difference is also better than that of the runners-up from London. Nevertheless, it would of course be presumptuous to put a tick in the box for now, especially since the direct duel is still to come.
Will the Reds score at least two goals again?
Mohamed Salah and Co. therefore want to stay on the gas and continue their impressive streak. The LFC have not lost in any of their last 23 Premier League matches. They have emerged victorious in five of their last seven matches in the English top flight. On Sunday, they recorded a confident 2-0 win at Manchester City, which once again underlined that the Beatles’ city is the measure of all things in the league this season.
The Champions League round of 16 contender has hardly put a foot wrong this season, especially at home. Although they suffered their only league defeat at home, they have won nine of the remaining 11 matches at Anfield. In this context, it is also interesting to note that the Reds have now scored at least two goals in 17 (!) consecutive home matches. In fact, the LFC has scored two goals or more on 19 of the last 20 matchdays in the English Premier League.
In view of these impressive statistics, it definitely makes sense to back the home team between Liverpool and Newcastle. In my opinion, it is even an option to combine the home win with a maximum of four goals in the game. A corresponding bet can be put together using the Bet Builder in the Betano app, for example, and would have paid off in eight of the nine PL home wins. Another factor in favor of a successful Wednesday evening is that coach Arne Slot can field his best team and does not have to consider a possible FA Cup match at the weekend. As is well known, the Reds sensationally failed in the last round against second division side Plymouth Argyle in England’s oldest cup competition.
Newcastle – Statistics & current form
Newcastle United Football Club is currently one of the teams hoping to qualify for the 2025/26 Champions League. Coach Eddie Howe’s team, who were already able to compete against Europe’s best clubs in the Champions League last season, currently occupy fifth place in the standings. Even the gap to third-placed Nottingham, who will face Arsenal again during the week, is just three points. A surprise victory at Anfield could potentially even see the Magpies finish in the top three of the PL table.
Newcastle is mourning the Wednesday schedule
The Magpies’ away record this season underlines just how complicated the task on Merseyside will be. Although they have managed six wins in 13 away games, they have also suffered four defeats. One of them, ten days ago, was at Manchester City. At the Etihad Stadium, the black and whites even went under with 0:4. NUFC had already lost difficult away games at Chelsea FC and Bournemouth.
In view of this, the odds for the visitors to win a point before the Liverpool v Newcastle clash should be treated with caution. If you still think the underdog is capable of at least a draw at Anfield, Betano offers a 2.60 double chance X2. With the Betano bonus code, you can also significantly reduce your own risk.
Moreover, there are other curious statistics that ensure that such high betting odds are offered between Liverpool and Newcastle for fifth place in the table. For example, the Magpies have lost 13 of their last 17 PL matches played on a Wednesday (2-2-13). Of the past 27 league games that “The Toon” played against the respective leader in the English top flight, only one ended with a three-pointer. In 20 attempts, NUFC also failed to win any of their away games against a PL league leader (0-5-15). It would therefore be unexpected if that were to change on Wednesday evening in Liverpool.
Liverpool – Newcastle Head to head / H2H record
Liverpool FC have not lost to Newcastle in 16 Premier League games. The Reds have won 11 and drawn five of those matches. The last LFC defeat against the Magpies was in December 2015. At home at Anfield, Liverpool are still unbeaten in 28 PL home games (23-5-0) since April 1994.
The first leg at St. James Park in the current season ended, as already mentioned, in a spectacular 3-3 draw. In fact, the last two direct duels were also the only ones in the past 11 PL encounters in which more than four goals were scored. For Wednesday evening, I again expect a maximum of four goals in 90 minutes.
EnglandLiverpool – Newcastle Tip
Liverpool Football Club continues to lead the Premier League by a mile. After an excellent weekend, they have a ten-point lead. Of course, the danger of the supposedly comfortable cushion is that it can lead to complacency. But considering the tasks in the Champions League and in the EFL Cup final against the same opponent, I expect a focused performance from the Reds on Wednesday evening, who are especially strong at home.
Match-Facts – Liverpool vs. Newcastle Tip
- In 17 competitive home matches in a row, the LFC has scored at least 2 own goals
- Newcastle lost 13 of the last 17 PL matches on a Wednesday
- Since 1994, the Reds have not lost at home to Newcastle in the league
Although the Magpies managed a 4-3 home win over Nottingham on Sunday and, of course, have the firepower to score at Anfield, I believe Mo Salah and Co. will win at home. Two own goals should probably be enough to keep the three points in the Beatles’ city. I am therefore leaning towards the tip for the home win with a maximum of four goals in the game before the Liverpool vs. Newcastle thriller and for that I get a top rate of 2.10 at Betano.