Will the eagles stay on course for the Champions League?

While VfL Wolfsburg have not won in their last two games (one draw, one defeat) and even stumbled at home against Kiel, who are yet to win away from home (2:2), Eintracht Frankfurt have picked up ten out of a possible twelve points in 2025. The Hessians are thus still on course for the Champions League and are putting their second-best Bundesliga season ever on the table. The first trend is therefore for Frankfurt to beat Wolfsburg at Tip 1.

However, the eagles do not have a particularly good record against the wolves. The SGE won the first leg against the green-whites 2-1, but had not won in seven consecutive games (four draws, three defeats), which should not be completely ignored in the forecast for Frankfurt against Wolfsburg. In addition, the Hessians have recently also had to accept a 2-0 defeat at crisis-stricken AS Roma in the Europa League after Marmoush’s departure, but at least that didn’t change their top-eight finish.

In principle, we also see the SGE as having a slight advantage, but we see too much risk in the three-way system, which is characterized by too many eventualities, for a tip to be justified. However, an exciting alternative presents itself. Not only do the third- and fourth-best attacks in the league, Frankfurt (44) and Wolfsburg (42), face each other here, but they are also the two Bundesliga clubs that, after Bayern (32), scored the most Bundesliga goals in 2024/25 in the second half – the SGE 23 and VfL 24.

Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg Forecast AI

In principle, the supercomputer BETSiE also expects a Sunday game with a lot of goals, in which the AI calculates an expected goal value of 2.38 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.36 for VfL Wolfsburg. This underlines the playability of our alternatively proposed bets on over 2.5 goals and goals on both sides.

However, the BETSIER finds the biggest value on the 20th match day in the three-way system. According to the Interwetten app, odds of 1.95 are offered for the home victory of the eagles, which suggests a probability of 51.3 percent. In fact, however, the AI calculates that the Hessians have an even greater chance of winning, at exactly 60 percent. This is almost nine percent higher, which results in a very positive expected value and, in the case of Frankfurt against Wolfsburg, the AI prediction is for Eintracht to win at home in a potentially high-scoring match.

Frankfurt – Statistics & current form

Eintracht Frankfurt may have crashed out of the DFB Cup with a 3-0 defeat at RB Leipzig at the beginning of December. Apart from that, however, the SGE is still on top form. In the Europa League, where they won their second title in the club’s history in 2022, the Hessians secured a direct ticket to the last 16.

In the Bundesliga, on the other hand, Dino Toppmöller’s team is in third place thanks to their second-best haul of points in the history of the club, and are therefore on course for the Champions League. 37 points have already been earned from 19 league games. This has only been surpassed once before, in 1992/93 (38 points, converted to the then-unofficial three-point rule). The start to 2025 was also strong, with ten out of a possible twelve points.

Has Frankfurt really not lost its punch?

The tip for Frankfurt to win at home against Wolfsburg is also under a correspondingly lucky star, although they did transfer Omar Marmoush, one of their guarantors of success from the strong first half of the season, to Manchester City in the winter. Successor Elye Wahi is currently suffering from thigh problems and has not yet been in the squad, while the last two games against Hoffenheim (2:2) and AS Roma (0:2) both saw two goals conceded.

It therefore remains to be seen whether the team, in which a lot now depends on Hugo Ektiké, who scored a brace against TSG last time out, can really maintain the same attacking power. With 44 goals, the Eagles are still the third-best offense in the Bundesliga.
Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

VfL Wolfsburg have been on an upward trajectory of late, successfully returning from the winter break with six points from their first two league games in 2025. However, as soon as the starting places for the UEFA competitions were back on the cards, there were another two Bundesliga games without a win in a row.

A 2-3 defeat at Bayern, which was certainly not a complete shock, was followed by a very annoying 2-2 draw against Holstein Kiel. As a result, the Wolves have kept a clean sheet only once in their last eight league games. In five of the last seven games, they have conceded at least two goals each time.

Wolfsburg is stronger away from home than ever before

However, the powerful offense, which has already scored 42 goals (fourth best in the league), was able to compensate for a lot at VfL. With Patrick Wimmer now serving a suspension for collecting too many yellow cards, winter signing Andreas Skov Olsen could also be an option for the club on the Main.

The fact that the green-and-whites could still get something out of this is evident from two figures: firstly, VfL have only lost one of their last eight games against SGE (three wins, four draws). And secondly, Wolfsburg have already picked up 16 out of a possible 27 points from nine Bundesliga away games. The Lower Saxony team have never done better away from home – not even in the championship season of 2008/09…

Frankfurt – Wolfsburg Direct comparison / H2H record

Head to head: 11 – 16 – 24

A total of 51 encounters have taken place between the two teams so far and with 24 wins, VfL Wolfsburg leads the direct comparison overall. After the Lower Saxony team remained unbeaten in seven consecutive duels against the SGE (three wins, four draws), Eintracht Frankfurt celebrated a 2-1 win in the Volkswagen Arena in the first leg. For the first time ever, the Hessians could now collect the full six points against the Wolves within a Bundesliga season.

Although the betting odds are in favor of Frankfurt against Wolfsburg, we do not see the situation as clearly as the bookmakers do. VfL has also delivered good results overall, is very strong away from home and also has the “head to head” comparison clearly on its side. Although the Hessians scored ten out of a possible twelve points in 2025, we believe that the Eagles are still at risk of stumbling, which is why we cannot go along with a prediction of a home win for Frankfurt against Wolfsburg.

It is very interesting that both teams are physically very strong and are therefore often able to step up a gear in the second half. Only Bayern scored more goals after the break (32) than Wolfsburg (24) and the Eagles (23), which is why the tip that the second half will be more goal-scoring than the first is very promising.