Back from the winter break to Madrid: Will RBS go down at the title defender?

Has anyone mentioned a crisis? Admittedly, Real Madrid have already made a few mistakes this season and put in a lot of lackluster performances, but the bottom line is that they can still achieve all their goals! At the weekend, for example, the star ensemble from the Spanish capital took the lead in La Liga and, in the Champions League, the top eight are at least not completely out of sight, with a four-point gap. To keep their chances of a direct place in the last 16 alive, the tip for the Ancelotti team has to come true on Wednesday evening between Real Madrid and RB Salzburg.

However, there are hardly any serious and, above all, well-founded doubts about the Whites getting the three points, because the guests are so far one of the weakest teams to have made their mark in Europe’s most important club competition. Three meager points read similarly disappointing as the 18 goals conceded.

The majority of the completed games were lost by a wide margin and, with the 7th matchday in the premier class coming up, a prediction of a landslide victory for the favorites is an obvious prospect before the match between Real Madrid and Red Bull Salzburg.

However, since betting providers with a German license offer extremely one-sided Real Madrid vs. RB Salzburg odds for understandable reasons, it takes a little creativity to find profitable bets that target a victory for the favorites from the Spanish capital. However, for those punters who are willing to take a risk and believe in a sensational victory, Interwetten is offering odds of 26.00 for an away win by the Austrian runners-up.

Real Madrid – Statistics & current form

20th place after six match days in the Champions League does not even begin to meet the huge demands of the title defender from Madrid. Coach Carlo Ancelotti’s team has already suffered three defeats. Although the lead over 25th place is just two points, meaning that even the sensational knockout after the league phase is a possibility, the wrinkles of worry on the faces of the royals are limited.

On the one hand, because they are aware of their own strength and were able to prove this, for example, with the 3-2 win at Atalanta Bergamo in December. On the other hand, because of the manageable opponents in the remaining two matchdays. Six points are mandatory for Kylian Mbappé and Co. at home against RB Salzburg and next week in Brest.

Will Real Madrid decide the game in the first 45 minutes?

Speaking of Kylian Mbappé: the French world champion is currently getting into his stride, scored in his last three competitive games for the white ballet, has taken second place in the La Liga scoring charts behind Lewandowski, and also led the Madrilenians to an unchallenged 4-1 home win against Las Palmas on Sunday, despite trailing 1-0 in the first minute and already putting it in the bag at half-time (3-1). If Mbappé gives his team a 1-0 lead on Wednesday evening, the odds between Real Madrid and Red Bull Salzburg on the Bwin app are 3.60.

In general, it can be assumed that the Galacticos, who have scored at least once in 32 (!) consecutive CL home games, will once again want to bring about an early decision. In eight of the last 11 matches in La Liga or the cup, Ancelotti’s team was ahead at half-time. In the course of the last two league home matches, the Madrilenians even managed to score three goals before half-time. Due to the huge difference in quality and the fact that the title is a must-win game, my Real Madrid vs. RB Salzburg prediction is that the defending champions will once again go into the locker room with a handicap lead (-1.5).

Red Bull Salzburg – Statistics & current form

Since January 1, 2025, RB Salzburg has had a new coach on the sidelines in Thomas Letsch. The former Bochum player was already under contract in Wals-Siezenheim from 2012 to 2015 and thus knows the ins and outs from his own experience. As successor to the dismissed Pep Lijnders, the 58-year-old German faces a mammoth task, however, because the former dominator of Austrian football is having a historically bad season and is already ten points behind leaders Sturm Graz after 16 match days.

Is RBS going under in Spain?

The adventure in the UEFA Champions League will also end for the Bulls after the league phase. It is utopian to think that the Red & Whites will catch up five points on the top 24 in their remaining two matches against Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid – especially in view of their performances so far. Not only have Salzburg conceded 18 goals (⌀ 3.0), they have also lost five of the six matches they have played. All of their defeats have come without scoring a goal, and with at least two goals difference. On average, their opponents have scored 3.4 goals in each victory…

Historically, Salzburg have had little to show for against the respective title defenders anyway. The kickers from the can empire have met a reigning winner in the European Cup six times and in all six cases, RBS left the pitch as the loser with 6:19 goals. The fact that something will change in this negative series on Wednesday evening at the Santiago Bernabeu can be confidently ruled out.

The fact that the first competitive game at national level for Letsch’s team is not scheduled until February 2, and that the Bulls will have to travel to Madrid from the cold, in the middle of their winter preparations, further complicates the undertaking. Under these circumstances, the betting odds for a clear favorite victory before the unequal duel between Real Madrid and RB Salzburg are undoubtedly the ones that make the most sense. However, a tip that the hosts will win both halves is also an interesting one. You can find a 1.70 offer for this in the Oddset app.

Real Madrid – Red Bull Salzburg Direct comparison / H2H record

Real Madrid have not played against an Austrian team in the European Cup since 1998/1999. This is the first time ever that the Galacticos have faced RB Salzburg in a competitive game. Incidentally, the first Premier game of this CL season against OSC Lille was lost by the Madrilenians with 0:1. However, there is nothing to suggest that the defending champions could face a similar fate on Wednesday in front of their home crowd.

Real Madrid – Red Bull Salzburg betting tip

13 coaches have had the honor of making their Champions League debut against Real Madrid in the past. Thomas Letsch will now be the 14th coach. Klaus Augenthaler, who coached Leverkusen to a sensational victory against the Spanish champions in September 2004, is so far the only one to have scored against the leading team from the Spanish capital. It is highly unlikely that the former Bundesliga coach from Bochum will join this elite group. Before the game between Real Madrid and RB Salzburg, everything points to a comfortable win for the home side.

The Ancelotti team has recently improved its form in the league, has significantly more individual quality and, given the situation in the Champions League table, has nothing to give away. The guests from Wals-Siezenheim are coming directly from the winter break and, even when fit, have suffered five defeats without scoring a goal and with 17 goals conceded in the first six match days.

I therefore recommend betting on the fact that Mbappé and Co. will lead by at least two goals at half-time between Real Madrid and Red Bull Salzburg. The 2.15 for the halftime handicap is one of the few acceptable odds that I would use with four units via the Interwetten app.