Nothing to get for the foals?
After winning ten competitive games in a row – including seven Bundesliga games in a row – Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recently returned to the strong form of the double season. The black and reds also took the full six points at the start of the year and continue to be Bayern’s closest pursuer. Accordingly, the tip for the next victory of the Leverkusen team against Gladbach is consistent, which has also been unbeaten in ten Bundesliga duels against the foals (eight wins, two draws).
Meanwhile, the new year got off to a disappointing start for the team from the Lower Rhine region. Gladbach suffered two defeats in a row and are currently only in eleventh place in the table at the end of the first half of the season. The Foals have only won two of their eight Bundesliga away games (two draws, four defeats), which is why Leverkusen’s prediction of a home win against Gladbach seems almost alternative.
While some teams are also pushed by the high level of media attention that this game receives in the Bundesliga top matches on Saturday evenings at 6:30 p.m., Gladbach also has a hard time with the spotlight. In September 2022, the Foals recorded a 3-0 home win against RB Leipzig in this Saturday evening game. Since then, they have not won in 13 top matches in a row (five draws, eight defeats) – longer than any other Bundesliga club.
Leverkusen vs. Gladbach forecast AI
Supercomputer BETSiE also sees Bayer 04 Leverkusen as the clear favorite and calculates a 76.8 percent chance of victory for the Werkself in this Bundesliga top match. However, this does not create value, nor does a bet on a draw or even an outsider bet. At this point, the betting providers are too clever with their odds in the three-way system, which is why the AI also switches to an alternative betting option.
It is noticeable that the BETSiE assumes a very goal-rich match. An expected goals value of 2.85 on the Werkself side is offset by 0.93 for the Fohlen. In total, this makes 3.78 goals, which is the highest value that the AI shows on matchday 18. Basically, BETSiE has no objections to our tip, but the bet also suggests that the black and reds will score at least three goals in this match.
Leverkusen – statistics & current form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a very difficult start, with the burden of the double and the undefeated season at the national level as the hunted into the new season. But after the unbeaten streak ended early and victories failed to materialize here and there, Xabi Alonso’s team was able to gradually stabilize again.
Meanwhile, the Werkself has returned to its old form. With 38 points, the Rhinelanders also played their third-best Bundesliga first half of all time, although they are currently four points behind leaders Bayern Munich.
Leverkusen with a strong record against Gladbach
In the new year, the defending champions have not let anything slip away, which is why the tip for the next three points for the Rhinelanders is now very high in the course for Leverkusen against Gladbach. After all, Bayer 04 has not lost any of the last ten Bundesliga duels with the foals (eight wins, two draws).
Meanwhile, the somewhat lost defensive stability can be improved. The black and reds have already conceded 23 goals in the season so far. Although this is still a top value in a league-wide comparison, the Werkself only kept a clean sheet in three of the previous 17 league games. This is also remarkable in that only Bayern have so far allowed fewer shots on target in the Bundesliga (87) than Leverkusen (173). At least the endeavor to keep a clean sheet against Gladbach will certainly not be a sure thing.
Gladbach – Statistics & current form
Borussia Mönchengladbach were actually on a bit of a high in the fall, having lost only one of nine consecutive league games between matchdays 7 and 15 (five wins, three draws). The team from the Lower Rhine also went into the winter break on a promising note with two wins.
Then the foals returned from the winter break, but not too well. The 0-1 defeat against Bayern Munich, which could have been much higher, was followed by a crushing 5-1 defeat at VfL Wolfsburg on Tuesday evening. The team of Leverkusen’s former coach Gerardo Seoane finished the first half of the season in only eleventh place, which certainly did not meet the club’s objectives.
Gladbach hopes for Kleindienst’s return
The foals are extremely serious about taking the lead. Gladbach have not yet lost a single point in 2024/25 when they were 1-0 up. However, Borussia have not scored that opening goal all that often, which is why the odds against the visitors are now clearly against them at Leverkusen against Gladbach.
In the Bet365 app, we find quotes of 11.00 for an away win for the team from the Lower Rhine region, who have now gone ten league games without a win against the Rhinelanders (two draws, eight defeats).
However, there is a small ray of hope: Tim Kleindienst, who has been sorely missed of late, will probably be back in the starting lineup after recovering from a gastrointestinal infection. Not only is he the top scorer and top provider for the Fohlenelf with nine goals and five assists, but he has also scored once in each of his last two Bundesliga appearances against Bayer Leverkusen.
Leverkusen – Gladbach Direct comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 45 – 33 – 30
A total of 108 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and with 45 wins, Bayer Leverkusen lead the direct comparison very clearly. The black and red are currently unbeaten in ten Bundesliga duels against Borussia Mönchengladbach (eight wins, two draws), but in their last two home games they could not beat the foals.
Leverkusen – Gladbach betting tip
The betting odds from the top betting providers are clearly in favor of Leverkusen against Gladbach. No wonder, because the reigning double winner has won all of its last ten competitive games, beating not just anyone, but after Bayern (1-0), Inter Milan (1-0) and Borussia Dortmund (3-2), most recently the very strong Mainz (1-0). Although these results, of all things, suggest the opposite, the Rhinelanders did not always find it easy to keep a clean sheet. The black and reds only managed this feat three times in the first 17 match days.
Against this background, the forecast for Leverkusen against Gladbach makes a lot of sense, that the formless foals will at least score an away goal in the BayArena. The combined tip that Bayer 04 will win this league game but not score a clean sheet provides a lot of value.
