How will the Pirates fare in their European away debut?

For the first time in club history, Stade Brest are playing a European competitive match in another country. As in their debut two weeks ago against Sturm Graz (2-1), they will face an Austrian club when the Pirates come to the city of Mozart. However, the betting odds for Red Bull Salzburg against Brest are tipping in favor of the Red Bulls, who, however, were soundly beaten (0-3) by Sparta Prague on the first matchday of the Champions League group stage.

However, the Mozartstadters managed the dress rehearsal on Saturday with a 2-0 win over Austria Vienna, while the French in Ligue 1 surprisingly crashed and burned with a 0-3 defeat at promoted AJ Auxerre. The Pirates have thus also lost their third competitive game on foreign soil in the 2024/25 season by at least two goals. Accordingly, the forecast for Red Bull Salzburg against Brest is that the Mozart city team will now be able to turn this to their advantage.

RB Salzburg have not won in their last five Champions League games (one draw, five defeats) and have lost every one of their last four home games in the premier competition. However, most of these were against opponents who were superior on paper. However, if you look at the total market value of the squads, the entire Red Bulls team is worth around 50 million euros more than the guests from Brittany, whose role as underdogs against this background may well have some substance.

It is therefore very interesting to bet on the double chance 1X at over 1.5 goals in a match in which we definitely expect goals. Alternatively, the more neutral tip of over 2.5 goals could be placed at odds of 1.75. New customers can get a special bonus at Admiral, where up to €200 in welcome bonuses are waiting.

Red Bull Salzburg – Statistics & current form

There was a time when Red Bull Salzburg’s European club history consisted of a veritable chronology of failure in the Champions League qualifiers. Not this season, though. The Mozart city side qualified for the first phase of the Champions League by beating teams like Twende Enschede and Dynamo Kiev.

The Bundesliga season also got off to a satisfactory start with four wins from six games, although the Red Bulls have already left valuable points behind them on two occasions, losing 2-1 away to Rapid Vienna and drawing 0-0 in the Tyrol. Overall, Salzburg are currently only in third place, but could potentially be in first place with wins in the two outstanding catch-up games.

How confidently will RB Salzburg approach this home game?

There was also a sobering 0-3 defeat at Sparta Prague on the first matchday of the premier class. The Austrians went six Champions League matches without a win (one draw, five defeats). After that, however, nothing was left to burn.

The Red Bulls kept a clean sheet three times in a row. On Saturday, they also celebrated a successful dress rehearsal against Austria Vienna (2-0). The team, which has been coached by Dutchman Pepijn Lijnders since July, is not entering this game without self-confidence.

RB Salzburg didn’t know what to do with the ball in the opening game

Nevertheless, there is still enormous potential for improvement, because according to the statistics, the Mozart townspeople definitely did not run after the game in Prague. A whopping 70.9 percent possession of the ball was recorded at the end – the Red Bulls’ highest in the Champions League since data collection began in the 2003/04 season.

The only problem was that Lijnders’ team did far too little with the ball in their possession, as evidenced by the fact that they only managed a single shot on target. The expected goals value was accordingly 0.58. In view of the inexperienced French team’s poor away record, it could be a completely different game with a similar amount of possession, which is why we tend to tip 1 for Red Bull Salzburg against Brest.

Predicted line-up for Red Bull Salzburg:
No information available

Brest – Statistics & current form

Stade Brest have only been playing in Ligue 1 again since 2019 after a six-year break, and last season they achieved the greatest success in the club’s history so far. The team from Brittany finished third in the final table, thereby becoming debutants in the Champions League.

In fact, the red and whites had never played a European competitive game before the current season. Nevertheless, the Pirates got off to a good start. On matchday 1, they recorded a 2-1 home win over Sturm Graz – the reigning national champions.

Brest suffer defeat in dress rehearsal

At the national level, however, Éric Roy’s team got off to a poor start. In Ligue 1, they lost four of their first six league games. At home, they suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat against Olympique Marseille in their very first game, before celebrating at least two home wins in a row.

On the road, however, the red and whites have not had any success at all. The team from Brittany have lost all three Ligue 1 away games of the 2024/25 season by at least two goals each time. On Saturday, they even lost 0-3 at promoted Auxerre, who had previously only picked up three out of a possible 15 points.

Brest may be dangerous in front of goal, but they are also very vulnerable defensively

In view of these results and, above all, the twelve goals already conceded in Ligue 1, it is therefore not surprising that the odds are so clearly against the French team at Red Bull Salzburg against Brest.

At least the Pirates can definitely be trusted to score goals in the city of Mozart. Roy’s team’s offense has already scored ten goals in the seven competitive games of the young season. Moreover, only Celtic Glasgow (nine), Bayern Munich (eight) and Juventus Turin (six) created more big chances than Brest (five) on the first matchday of the Champions League league phase.

Provisional line-up for Brest:
No information available.

Red Bull Salzburg – Brest head to head / H2H record

There has never been a European competitive game between the two teams before, which is due to the fact that Stade Brest are playing an international competitive game for only the second time.

Consequently, there is no head-to-head data that could influence our prediction for the Red Bull Salzburg v Brest game, although it should be noted that the Pirates beat Sturm Graz 2-1 on matchday 1 of the league phase. Meanwhile, the Mozart city side celebrated a 2-1 home win in their last clash with a Ligue 1 representative in the 2021/22 Champions League against Lille OSC, while losing 1-0 away in the French north.

Red Bull Salzburg – Brest Betting Tip

The best bookmakers are tipping Red Bull Salzburg against Brest, which makes sense given the French team’s recent away games. The Pirates have lost their last three away games in Ligue 1 by at least two goals, and even took a 3-0 defeat against promoted side Auxerre recently. Meanwhile, the Red Bulls passed the dress rehearsal with flying colors in their 2-0 win against Austria Vienna. The Mozartstadt team also kept a clean sheet in their third game after their 3-0 defeat against Sparta Prague.

It is generally a good idea to bet on the Austrians’ home win, who also have a higher total market value than the guests from Brittany. Nevertheless, we would not rule out the possibility of a draw in view of the Mozart city’s meager Champions League record and therefore recommend the combined tip on the double chance 1X at over 1.5 goals.

For this, odds of 1.53 are available for Red Bull Salzburg against Brest, which we are playing with five units at Betway.