Does Sascha get revenge for the London loss?
Alexander Zverev still dreams of winning a Grand Slam title and has every reason to do so. If the German superstar wins Taylor Fritz’s match against Alexander Zverev, the door to the grand final will be wide open. In addition to defending champion Novak Djokovic, Spanish shooting star Carlos Alcaraz has also been eliminated early, meaning that Sascha is the top seed in the bottom half of the tournament tree
However, the German also only just raised his title hopes at Wimbledon, which were laid to rest by his current opponent of all people. With Taylor Fritz against Alexander Zverev, the forecast must also take into account the fact that Sascha has just been beaten 3-2 by the American in the last 16 of the Wimbledon Championships in a thrilling five-set match
As a local hero, Taylor Fritz is dreaming of becoming the first American since Andy Roddick (2003) to win the men’s singles at the US Open. The Californian is certainly not without a chance. In 2024, the world number twelve has already won two singles titles and beaten five different top 10 players – including Alexander Zverev 3:2 at Wimbledon.
Because we expect a similarly close match, we recommend betting that over 41.5 games will be needed to determine the first semi-finalist. It would also be very consistent to place a positive handicap on the American
Taylor Fritz – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 12
Position in the seeding list: 12
The 26-year-old American Taylor Harry Fritz has already won eight tournaments on the ATP Tour in his career – including a major title at the Indian Wells Masters 2022, when he beat the great Rafael Nadal 2-0 in the final.
At Grand Slam level, the Californian-born player has now reached the quarter-finals at Flushing Meadows for the fifth time in his career and the fourth time in the last five Grand Slam tournaments. However, the world number twelve has never made it past the round of the best eight players before
Taylor Fritz with several exclamation marks at the US Open
If Taylor Fritz wins against Alexander Zverev, it would be one of the 26-year-old’s greatest career successes. He recently proved that he can beat Sascha in London when he defeated the German 3:2 in the last 16 of the 2024 Wimbledon Championships.
The American has had an extremely impressive run in Flushing Meadows so far. With three smooth 3:0 victories – including against 2021 Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini (ATP 44) – Taylor Fritz made a flawless run into the round of 16, where he then demystified the favored Casper Ruud (ATP 8) 3:1 after trailing 0:1.
Also against Casper Ruud with a very strong service
The victory over the Norwegian was the 26-year-old’s fifth win over a top 10 player in the 2024 calendar year. Taylor Fritz, who in the past was usually accused of not delivering against the absolute top stars on the tour, proved that this supposed shortcoming is no longer quite so contemporary.
The performance data from the round of 16 in particular proves the world number twelve right. The Californian hit no fewer than 24 aces, scored on his first serve 84 percent of the time and only conceded a single service game during the match. If he serves that strongly again, a long match at eye level is almost inevitable…
Alexander Zverev – statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 4
Position in the seeding list: 4
The 27-year-old German Alexander Zverev not only won the gold medal at the 2021 Olympic Games, but has also been named unofficial world champion of the ATP Tour twice. He has also won six major titles at Masters tournaments.
Only two milestones remain to be reached: First place in the ATP world rankings and overall victory at a Grand Slam tournament. Sascha failed to reach the grand final at both the 2020 US Open and the 2024 French Open
Will Sascha get another chance to win a Grand Slam title?
After Alexander Zverev’s run at the Wimbledon Championships ended in the round of 16 against Taylor Fritz, the German is now looking for revenge and a place in the US Open semi-finals for the third time after 2020 and 2021.
In addition to Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz has also already been eliminated. In principle, everything would therefore be set for a dream final against Jannik Sinner or even Daniil Medvedev, for whom the German is known to have little sympathy. Before that can happen, however, Sascha must now overcome a difficult hurdle:
Alexander Zverev with an almost indefensible serve
The German is certainly encouraged by his strong US Open record. Sascha has played 34 singles matches so far in the men’s singles of the hard court Grand Slam in New York City. He has won 26 of these matches – a fantastic win rate of 76.5 percent. Alexander Zverev’s rate in the round of 16 against local hero Brandon Nakashima (ATP 50) on his own serve was similarly fantastic, even though the Hamburg native had twisted his ankle and was limping, for which he later gave the all-clear.
He was unable to fend off the only break point against him. However, because he scored points on his first serve 88 percent of the time and also managed an impressive 57 percent on his second serve, this single break point remained, which could now also be the key to success against Taylor Fritz.
Taylor Fritz – Alexander Zverev head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 4:5
The two athletes have crossed paths nine times so far and Alexander Zverev leads the direct comparison by a very narrow margin with five wins. While the German initially celebrated a smooth 2:0 victory over the American in Rome in May this year, Taylor Fritz beat the German superstar 3:2 in a thrilling five-set thriller in the round of 16 at the Wimbledon Championships
Taylor Fritz – Alexander Zverev tip
At the moment, the bookmakers’ odds for Taylor Fritz against Alexander Zverev are quite clearly in favor of the German, who is just 5:4 ahead in the “head to head” comparison. However, Sascha was only just beaten 2:3 in the last 16 of the Wimbledon Championships. So Taylor Fritz certainly has the necessary means to upset the presumed favorite
In principle, it would therefore also be conceivable to bet on another victory for the American with a free bet without a deposit. However, as this also involves a certain amount of risk, we opt for the somewhat safer approach by betting that this match will have a certain length.
Therefore, our prediction for Taylor Fritz against Alexander Zverev is over 41.5 games before the winner is determined. We play this tip at Tipwin at odds of 1.90 with four out of ten units.