Sinner redeems his quarter-final ticket?
Jannik Sinner showed a defiant sporting reaction after all the doping allegations in the run-up to the US Open 2024 and has already qualified for the last 16 of the current Grand Slam. The showdown against Tommy Paul is now on the cards. In the run-up to the clash, our Sinner vs. Paul betting tip is for the Italian to reach the quarter-finals
After all, the world number one goes into the upcoming match in top form. Since losing to Andrey Rublev at the ATP tournament in Montreal, Jannik Sinner has won each of his last eight matches on hard court. Most recently even twice in a row without losing a set
Now the Italian is aiming for his ninth win in a row. Jannik Sinner has won two of the last three head-to-heads against Tommy Paul
Jannik Sinner – statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 1
Position in the seeding list: 1
Jannik Sinner started the US Open 2024 with a four-set win against Mackenzie McDonald. The Italian lost the first set against the local hero and only fought his way back into the match in the following sets. With 6:2, 6:1 and 6:2, Sinner ensured a clear balance of power.
Since then, the Italian has come through the last two rounds unscathed. Having already defeated Michelsen in three sets in the second round, he also followed up with a clear victory against O’Connell. In these two matches, Jannik Sinner only dropped a total of 13 games.
If the momentum is carried forward, the Italian should not have too much trouble against Tommy Paul either. The success rate after his own service games will also point the way forward. While Sinner faltered in parts against Michelsen, there was little to complain about against O’Connell
Next demonstration of power from Jannik Sinner?
Jannik Sinner last met Tommy Paul almost a year ago. The Italian beat the American in two sets at the ATP Masters 2023 in Toronto. It was his second win in the last three head-to-heads. Sinner beat Tommy Paul in two sets for the first time.
If you want to bet on Jannik Sinner winning this match without losing a set, you can also use the Bet365 app. Not only is the match available there as a live game with many other betting options, the bookmaker from Stoke-on-Trent also has a welcome offer for new customers.
The statistics from the third round speak in Sinner’s favor. Against O’Connell, the Italian won 82% of his points after his first serve. There were also 15 aces to cheer about. Sinner also won 42% of return points after his opponent’s first serve – a good omen ahead of the showdown against Tommy Paul?
Tommy Paul – statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 14
Position in the seeding list: 14
Tommy Paul has reached the last 16 of the US Open 2024 for the second time in a row. Last year, the American had to pull out of the tournament against Ben Shelton and lost in four sets. It is quite possible that his adventure at the US Open 2024 will also end in the fourth round.
Tommy Paul already stumbled against Gabriel Diallo recently. After losing the first set against the Canadian, the ATP world no. 14 managed a comeback in four sets. The US-American fought his way back into the match after a double break (0:3) and won the decisive fourth set.
It remains to be seen how the 27-year-old will now present himself against Jannik Sinner, as the Italian, unlike Tommy Paul, has been in great form in recent weeks. Paul, on the other hand, has lost two of his last five matches on hard court
Does Tommy Paul buckle against Jannik Sinner?
It would therefore be all the more surprising if Tommy Paul were to eliminate the world number one from the US Open in his current form. If you still want to bet on the underdog in Sinner vs. Paul, you can also use a free bet at the bookmakers.
The bookmakers are currently offering odds in the region of 6.00 for bets on the US American. Tommy Paul has not won against a player from the top 10 of the ATP since March 2024. It is quite possible that this negative streak will continue against Jannik Sinner.
In his third-round match against Gabriel Diallo, Tommy Paul only won 68% of his points on his first serve. A service percentage that would be fatal against a player like Jannik Sinner.
Jannik Sinner – Tommy Paul head-to-head comparison / H2H result
The two players meet for the fourth time. Jannik Sinner leads the head-to-head with a record of 2-1. Only at the grass court tournament in Eastbourne did Sinner lose a match against Tommy Paul in June 2022. The last time the two players met was at the 2023 ATP Masters in Toronto. Sinner won the encounter 2:0.
Jannik Sinner – Tommy Paul tip
Jannik Sinner is currently in better shape. The Italian has not only won the Cincinnati Masters in the run-up to the US Open 2024, but has also dominated the US Open at will so far. In the first three rounds of the current Grand Slam, the Italian only dropped a single set.
Jannik Sinner shouldn’t have too much trouble against Tommy Paul either and should bag his quarter-final ticket. With the remaining field of participants, the Italian is the hot favorite to win the title in New York. It’s quite possible that Sinner will underpin this role as favorite at the US Open
We expect a clear victory for the Italian and place our Sinner vs. Paul betting tip at odds of 2.03 on a 3:0 win for the world number one. A stake of five units is quite reasonable for this, especially after the strong performance in the third round against O’Connell
