Bayern puts the lid on the playoff semi-final in Würzburg?
Match ball in Würzburg – to the displeasure of the Würzburg team. A small basketball miracle is needed to reach the final. But nobody is thinking of giving up, especially not the notorious champions. After their sensational victory in the quarter-finals, the Baskets’ reputation precedes them. Whether Bayern’s knees will tremble, however, is questionable
At the current stage of the series, only one more win is needed for Munich to reach the final. Although Würzburg Baskets have the home advantage this time, Bayern Munich are still the heavy favorites to win. The bookmakers are unanimous: The first finalist of the BBL playoffs is likely to be decided in the game on Sunday at 3:00 p.m. in the tectake Arena
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Würzburg Baskets – Statistics & current form
The Baskets are not fooling themselves: All signs are against them reaching the final despite the home advantage. Even if you look back 25 years into the statistical history of the BBL, there are only three cases in this period in which a comeback was successful after trailing 0:2 in the series.
Leverkusen achieved this feat against Frankfurt in the semi-final at the turn of the millennium. In the two seasons 2001/02 and immediately afterwards in 2002/03 , Bonn caused such a sensation twice in succession in the quarter-finals against Bamberg and Leverkusen. Will Würzburg write German basketball history again more than 20 years later?
As entertaining as such a coup would be, the bookmakers believe it is much more likely that the season of this year’s championship shocker will end on Sunday. Betting tips on the Würzburg Baskets beating Bayern Munich are priced at odds of up to 4.50 on the three-way market in the best sports betting apps.
These tempting quotes correspond to an implied probability of just 22.2 percent. Even more tempting, however, are the numerous bonus offers available from the bookies in the run-up to the highly anticipated European Football Championship.
The Würzburg Baskets have not lacked accuracy recently
You have to give the Baskets credit for one thing: There was actually a comeback feeling in the first period of the most recent duel. With the sensational win against defending champions Ulm in mind, Würzburg was highly motivated to show the overpowering Bavarians on their home turf that the underdogs had not yet put their finals ambitions aside. They went into the break trailing by just a single point after a promising first quarter.
However, the team of Head Coach Saso Filipovski increasingly lost touch as the game progressed. The result was a deserved 99:75 triumph for the favored club from Munich. Interestingly, it was nevertheless a player from Würzburg who was crowned top scorer of the evening: Zac Seljaas bagged 17 points and so scored the highest haul.
The Baskets were also extremely accurate. 59.4 percent of all two-point shots found their way into the basket. In terms of accuracy, Würzburg was therefore superior to the favorites from the Bavarian capital, who had a two-point percentage of 57.1%.
However, it was problematic that Munich’s outstanding defense did not provide enough opportunities to turn that accuracy into an advantage. Ahead of the encounter between Würzburg Baskets and Bayern Munich, the bookies are predicting that the home side will once again fail to find sufficient means to put a spanner in the works of the championship favorites.
Bayern Munich – statistics & current form
Admittedly, even Bayern’s fans, who are used to success, were a little taken aback after the first quarter of the last game, which was won by a wafer-thin margin. And rightly so, because the Baskets, who had eliminated the reigning champions in the quarter-finals despite losing 100:64 in the meantime, put up a valiant fight on a mental level – even without MVP Otis Livingston II and Julius Böhmer.
However, the fact that FCBB has not trailed once in the entire course of the semi-final so far must be regarded as absolutely commanding on the part of Munich. Whether this dominance will continue on foreign soil will have to be seen for the first – and perhaps last – time on Sunday against the underdogs.
The most pessimistic providers on the three-way market give the Bavarian title contenders odds of a whopping 75.2 percent. In the Bwin app, the highest odds of 1.33 are available for an away win in regular time between Würzburg Baskets and Bayern Munich.
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Bayern Munich is a defensively robust offensive force
Championship scare or not: numbers don’t lie – and those numbers attest to Bayern’s red-hot offense. The team of successful coach Pablo Laso not only has the best field goal percentage in the league at 50.4 percent, but also the best accuracy with three-pointers (40.8 percent). In addition, the Bavarian offensive rating of 125.2 is the lone leader in the BBL.
Their efficiency in defensive rebounds is also unsurpassed. Bayern seizes the most opportunities of all teams in the German Basketball League in this regard and is successful 72.6% of the time. It is therefore no surprise that Munich has the league’s highest average of 26.9 defensive rebounds per game. Coupled with the fact that Laso’s team concedes the fewest turnovers per encounter in the league (11.4), it paints a picture of a team that makes few mistakes in both offense and defense.
However, the hosts Würzburg are not a turnover supplier either: A match average of 11.7 is the second-best figure after Bayern. Nevertheless, the Würzburg Baskets will have to have a great day on Sunday if they are to confirm their prediction of an unexpected underdog triumph against Bayern Munich.
Würzburg Baskets – Bayern Munich head-to-head comparison / H2H result
With its latest triumph, FCBB notched up its 23rd win from 28 encounters with Würzburg. Now the Würzburg Baskets are in trouble against Bayern Munich. The betting odds imply a high probability that the traveling club from the Bavarian capital will increase its lead in the playoff series to 3:0 and thus secure a place in the final
Würzburg Baskets – Bayern Munich tip
The home side are mentally prepared for a comeback against the overpowering favorites despite their recent defeat. Statistically, however, it is unlikely that Würzburg will be able to prevent Munich from reaching the final. Of course, statistics – especially in basketball playoffs – are by no means everything. Nevertheless, given the sheer quality of the Bavarian squad, it is difficult to believe that the hosts will pull off a surprise victory
Since the odds for regular win bets on the favorite are too low to outweigh the risk of a Würzburg upset, we are switching to total points tips. Although the last encounter was rather low-scoring, we expect a more generous haul of points this time. Especially with a growing deficit, the Baskets will have nothing more to lose in the later stages of the game and will step up their already risk-averse style of play. This can result in a higher total number of points, both in the form of more baskets conceded and scored.
For the match between Würzburg Baskets and Bayern Munich, we select the bet on over 159.5 points at highest odds of 1.82 at Betano.
