Will Munich play big again?

There is still something at stake for both sides in this southern German clash. On the one hand, FC Bayern Munich would like to at least finish runners-up, while TSG Hoffenheim still have a chance of finishing sixth thanks to their recent resounding victory. A home win for the Sinsheim side would also secure them a place in a European competition, even if Eintracht Frankfurt were to win at the same time. However, there is not much to be said for betting tip 1 for Hoffenheim against Bayern

After all, the Kraichgauers were shockingly weak at home in the 2023/24 season. Only Darmstadt (six) and Cologne (16) have picked up fewer home points than TSG (20), who have nevertheless won three of their last seven Bundesliga home games against the German record champions (one draw, three defeats), which should not be completely ignored in Hoffenheim’s prediction against Bayern.

Overall, however, the record is clearly in Munich’s favor. Bayern have won 21 of their 32 competitive matches against TSG to date and have also remained unbeaten in their last six Bundesliga games against Hoffenheim (four wins, two draws). The first leg was also a clear 3-0 win for FCB, although they have not managed to secure the full six points in a season against Sinsheim since the 2018/19 season.

Thomas Tuchel will be missing a number of key players for the season finale. Nevertheless, we believe that the Reds will not let the runners-up spot slip from their grasp and will achieve a corresponding away win in Kraichgau

Hoffenheim – statistics & current form

How the 2023/24 season is ultimately assessed for TSG Hoffenheim will also depend to a large extent on the upcoming home game against Bayern. If the Sinsheim side crosses the finish line in seventh place or even climbs to sixth, that would certainly be a resounding success.

If, on the other hand, they drop to eighth place, they would need help from Leverkusen. Only if the Werkself win the DFB Cup would they finally make it into the Conference League qualifiers, where the money is nowhere near as high as in the Europa League

Hoffenheim is too vulnerable defensively in 2023/24

In any case, TSG would be the first Bundesliga club since Hamburger SV in the 1987/88 season to achieve the feat of finishing in the top seven of the final table while conceding at least 64 goals. This also directly highlights one of Sinsheim’s major shortcomings, who kept a clean sheet for the first time in 27 consecutive league games in their recent 6-0 win over Darmstadt.

Curiously, they have yet to record a clean sheet at the PreZero Arena in 2023/24. Only RW Essen (1973/74) and VfB Stuttgart (2021/22) have not kept a clean sheet in a single home game in a Bundesliga season

Hoffenheim are one of the weakest Bundesliga clubs at home

With Hoffenheim against Bayern, the bet that TSG will not concede a goal against the best offense in the league, of all teams, is of course not correct. In any case, the Kraichgauers have the most problems at home. Only Darmstadt (six) and Cologne (16) have scored fewer points at home than Sinsheim (20) in the current season.

And yet there are rays of hope. Three of the last seven home games against FCB have been won (one draw, three defeats). In addition, Maximilian Beier is in impressive form, which has now even earned him a place in the European Championship. The 21-year-old has already scored his 14th and 15th Bundesliga goals of the season against Darmstadt. Only two German players under 22 have scored more goals this season: Timo Werner (21) and Kai Havertz (17).

Predicted Hoffenheim line-up:

Bayern – Statistics & current form

Since the 2-1 defeat at the Santiago Bernabéu, it has been clear that the 2023/24 season will officially remain untitled. The German record champions have not even been able to win the completely unimportant Super Cup, although they have not had a bad season in general.

If the Reds win, they will take their points tally to 75. So far, only Dortmund have finished runners-up twice with more points – in 2015/16 under Thomas Tuchel himself, who, according to new reports, could possibly continue as Bayern coach after all. In fact, 75 points in 44 of the previous 60 Bundesliga seasons would always have been enough to win the title

Bayern have been remarkably pale away from home recently

The question of how Munich can close the gap on Bayer Leverkusen in the future has no impact on the 34th matchday, at least in the short term. Now it’s just a matter of getting off to a good start and, above all, polishing up their away record. FCB have lost four of their last seven Bundesliga away games (two wins, one draw).

Particularly hard: Since the beginning of February, no other Bundesliga team has conceded more goals away from home than the German record champions (17). Nevertheless, the odds for Hoffenheim v Bayern are in the visitors’ favor, which we think is basically correct

Will Bayern play big again?

Last weekend, Munich had to do without a number of key players in the shape of Sané, Musiala, Gnabry and Kane, but were able to completely overwhelm a VfL Wolfsburg side that was basically in good form and also had one eye on Europe. In the end, it was “only” a 2:0 victory. Nevertheless, the Reds gave the impression that they could go one better at any time.

However, there is another aspect that clearly speaks in favor of the team from the Isar. After all, no team fired more shots in the Bundesliga in 2023/24 than Munich (627, or 19 per league game). Bayern will now face the club that has conceded the most shots against them (561 – 17 per league game) in the season finale. Accordingly, the necessary away goals should also be pre-programmed.

Predicted Bayern line-up:

Hoffenheim – Bayern Direct comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 4 – 7 – 21

A total of 32 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far, with FC Bayern Munich leading the direct comparison with 21 wins. The Reds are currently unbeaten in six competitive matches against Hoffenheim (four wins, two draws), but have lost three of their last seven Bundesliga games in Sinsheim (one draw, three defeats).

Hoffenheim – Bayern betting tip

Although TSG played themselves into a frenzy last weekend with a 6-0 win in Darmstadt and could now book their ticket for Europe, our prediction for Hoffenheim against Bayern is for an away win for the German record champions. Tuchel’s side are desperate to tie up the runners-up spot in the title-less season and are likely to go into the game with a possible second string as motivated and eager to play as they were in their recent commanding home win over VfL Wolfsburg.

In addition, the Kraichgauers have been very pale, especially at home. TSG are also very susceptible to conceding goals, which should play into the hands of the goal-happy Munich side. The bet that FCB can prevail in the PreZero Arena is correspondingly consistent