For FSV to avoid relegation?
According to the Bo Henriksen table, 1. FSV Mainz 05 will play in the Champions League next season. Under the new coach, the “Nullfünfer” have picked up 20 points from twelve league games, which is only topped by four other teams, leaving the Rheinhessen in fifth place. However, if Wolfsburg win at home against Mainz and Union Berlin win against Freiburg at the same time, the Red & Whites would still only end up in relegation
Mainzer are still suffering from the burden of their disastrous start, but are currently above the drop zone thanks to their latest 3-0 win over Dortmund. FSV therefore have it in their own hands to a certain extent and are now playing host to a team that no longer really has anything at stake. In principle, therefore, the prediction that Wolfsburg will win against Mainz is quite consistent
In view of the fact that the five-pointer has not lost in eight Bundesliga games (four wins, four draws), it could well be the full three points in the Volkswagen Arena. If you are prepared to take the risk involved in this tip, you can get odds of 2.30 for tip 2 at Interwetten. Of course, the bet could also be placed by using a free bet without a deposit.
However, because Mainz have not won in 20 away Bundesliga games this season (eleven draws, nine defeats), we also want to have the possibility of a points split on the betting slip. Consequently, we recommend the combined bet on the double chance X2 with over 1.5 goals. Speaking of Interwetten: At this bookmaker, you can currently pick up a €100 new customer bonus in addition to the top odds for betting tip 2.
Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form
Following their narrow failure to qualify for a European competition last summer, VfL Wolfsburg are set to end a pretty bumpy season in no man’s land in the table. The Wolves have 37 points to their name. Even if they manage a three-pointer against Rheinhessen, it will have been their weakest season in six years (33 points in 2017/18).
However, at least the club from Lower Saxony are no longer embroiled in the relegation battle, which actually became an issue again for a short time, which is why Niko Kovac had to leave. But then came Ralph Hasenhüttl, under whom the Green-Whites have now won four out of seven league games (three defeats)
The most recent home record speaks against Wolfsburg
Last time out, they could have done even better. However, the Wolves were once again extremely tame in the 2-0 defeat to a Bayern B team. As a result, the odds are now also against a home win for Wolfsburg against Mainz, who have rarely shone in front of a home crowd.
VfL have won their last two Bundesliga home games in a row. Before that, however, there was only one three-pointer in eleven games at the Volkswagen Arena in the top flight of German soccer (four draws, six defeats).
Wolfsburg with another poor performance on the final matchday?
The team from Lower Saxony have also recently acquired the dubious reputation of not being quite up to scratch on the final matchday. In the last four Bundesliga seasons, VfL have always played at home on matchday 34, but have failed to win a single game and have only managed one point out of a possible twelve.
Should the Wolves now lose at home, it would be their 17th defeat in a Bundesliga season. Only in the 2003/04 season (18) have they lost more. It is highly doubtful that Ralph Hasenhüttl will be able to motivate the squad, which will certainly have to be restructured in the transfer market this summer, against an in-form visitors who potentially still need points to stay in the league.
Predicted Wolfsburg line-up:
Mainz – Statistics & current form
Two years ago, 1. FSV Mainz 05 was able to realize a spectacular second half of the season under Bo Svensson, which in the meantime had moved into the distant future. Now it looks as if Bo Henriksen could repeat the same feat.
After Svensson’s successor Jan Siewert was initially only able to stabilize the defence, but not awaken the offence from its slumber, Bo Henriksen now has 20 points from twelve league games. In the Bundesliga, only one coach has been more successful in his first twelve Bundesliga games at Mainz: Thomas Tuchel (21).
A draw should be enough for Mainz
The team from the Rheinhessen have recently gone unbeaten in eight consecutive league games (four wins, four draws). Thanks to a spectacular 3:0 win against Champions League finalists Borussia Dortmund, the Nullfünfer are now on the brink of safety for only the third time in the 2023/24 season.
The Red & Whites are now two points clear of the relegation places. With a goal difference twelve points better than their closest rivals Union Berlin, it is also almost certain that they will avoid relegation if Wolfsburg’s bet on a points-split result against Mainz comes true
Mainz with a long dry spell on foreign pitches
This is a comfortable starting position for the Rheinhessen side, as FSV have always found it extremely difficult, especially away from home. Mainz are still the only one of the 18 current Bundesliga clubs not to have won a single away game in the 2023/24 season.
The Nullfünfer are bottom of the away table with just nine points. In fact, they have already gone 20 consecutive Bundesliga away games without a win (eleven draws, nine defeats). All the greater, however, is the chance for Henriksen’s side not only to finally end this drought, but also to celebrate staying in the league in style with an away win at the Volkswagen Arena.
Mainz’s expected line-up:
Wolfsburg – Mainz head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 19 – 16 – 10
A total of 45 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and VfL Wolfsburg clearly lead the direct comparison with 19 wins. The team from Lower Saxony are also currently unbeaten in four Bundesliga duels with 1. FSV Mainz 05 (three wins, one draw). However, the two teams shared the points in the first leg (final score: 1:1).
Wolfsburg – Mainz betting tip
Despite the Rheinhessen’s long drought on foreign pitches, our prediction for Wolfsburg against Mainz is for the visitors to win a point. The Red & Whites have been reinvigorated under Bo Henriksen and now have another year in the Bundesliga completely in their own hands, even without the arduous relegation process. Given that FSV are unbeaten in eight league games (four wins, four draws) and VfL have practically nothing at stake, there is not much to be said for a home win for the Wolves, who are not overly strong at home anyway
In principle, tip 2 already offers an attractive ratio of risk, probability of occurrence and chance of winning. However, due to the winless streak of the “Nullfünfer” away from home, we want to leave at least the possibility of a point split on the ticket. After all, a draw would almost certainly be enough for FSV in case of doubt.
We therefore recommend betting on the double chance X2 at over 1.5 goals. For this, betting odds of 1.72 are available for Wolfsburg vs Mainz, which we play at Betano with four units
