Celebrate another three-pointer for Spurs in the city duel

An exciting city derby concludes matchday 15 in the Premier League on Thursday evening. Looking at the league table, the current number two from the capital will face the third-placed team in the “unofficial” London rankings. There are currently six points between Tottenham and West Ham. A prediction that this gap will increase to nine points after the direct duel is considered likely. For a home win for manager Ange Postecoglou’s team, odds of just 1.80 are on offer at the top of the three-way market

However, the recent form curves speak a different language. While the Lily Whites have failed to win any of their last four league games and have slipped to fifth in the table, the Irons have picked up seven points from their last three matches. However, it should be noted that the opposition for the reigning Conference League champions was less prestigious and complicated than for Spurs.

Spurs, on the other hand, boosted their confidence at the weekend as they drew 3-3 away to reigning champions Manchester City, proving once again why Hyeung-Min Son and Co. are so much fun to watch at the moment. If THFC can replicate that special spirit on the pitch on Thursday night, there’s every reason to believe that the Tottenham v West Ham home triumph will come to fruition

Tottenham – Statistics & current form

Although Tottenham Hotspur Football Club have now gone four Premier League games without a win, the capital club can still be credited with a great season to date. After the XL upheaval in the summer and the painful departure of club icon Harry Kane, very few experts would have believed that the Lily Whites would immediately be able to have a say in the international ranks in the English top flight again.

However, as the season got off to an unexpectedly good start with eight wins and two draws on the opening matchdays, the professionals and coach Ange Postecoglou in particular are likely to be annoyed by the fact that results have somehow gone wrong since the beginning of November. Despite solid performances, the team suffered defeats against Chelsea (1:4), Wolverhampton (1:2) and Aston Villa (1:2). However, this run of defeats was at least halted at the weekend. Away at Manchester City, the carefree Spurs side trailed twice (1-2, 2-3) before finally snatching a lucky point (3-3).

Son delivers against his favorite opponent?

Once again this season it became clear that coach Postecoglou, who was released by Celtic Glasgow in the summer and has already achieved cult status in the north London borough of Haringey within a few months, can rely on his terrific attack. After 14 matchdays, he has 28 goals to his name. Ten times out of 14 they have scored at least two of their own. The team in fifth place in the table has yet to score a goal in the current Premier League season.

However, the very bold approach, which is reflected in very aggressive pressing and a high defensive back four, also brings defensive dangers. While opposing teams were unable to find the right solutions in the first few weeks, they have recently conceded a large number of goals. Eleven goals were conceded in the last four matches alone. Incidentally, in three of these four matches, the bet on over 1.5 after 45 minutes would have gone through. It is quite possible that odds on two or more goals in the first half will also pay off between Tottenham and West Ham.

The challenging nature of Thursday’s task can also be deduced from another statistic. As well as losing their two most recent PL home games, the capital side have also won just three of their last nine PL home matches played during the week, from Tuesday to Thursday. To make up for this disappointing result, it will probably take a Hyeung-Min Son in top form, who can easily call the Hammers his favorite opponent.

In his last eight league home games against WHU, the South Korean has scored eight goals. If you want to bet that Son will put his colors 1-0 ahead in the direct duel, you can dust off interesting odds of well over 5.00 between Tottenham and West Ham.

Predicted Tottenham line-up:

West Ham – Statistics & current form

While Tottenham’s recent performances, some of which have been very good, have been disproportionate to the rather disappointing results, the opposite is true at West Ham United Football Club. Coach David Moyes’ side are not always convincing in footballing terms, but they are probably well ahead of their upcoming opponents in terms of efficiency and maturity. The Irons have gone unbeaten five times in a row in the Europa League and Premier League and have even celebrated four victories in this period. All four victories came by a narrow margin of exactly one goal.

Last weekend, however, the Londoners dropped two unnecessary points at home in the city duel against Crystal Palace. The 1-0 half-time lead against the Eagles was not enough to leave the pitch as winners in the end. The score was 1-1 after 90 minutes, meaning the Hammers failed to close the gap on the international ranks. On Thursday evening, they now face their first competitive defeat in the north of the capital since early November

When WHU travels as a guest, a spectacle is inevitable

The main argument against Moyes’ side is their weakness on the road. Although ten points from seven away games is not a bad result, they have already conceded 14 (!) goals, an average of exactly two per game away from home. The record in London derbies away from home is even worse

An alternative approach is to bet that we’ll see some goals late on Thursday night. On the one hand, because the Irons have failed to achieve a clean sheet in any of their last eleven PL away games. On the other, because the Capitals have scored at least one goal of their own in eight consecutive league matches away from home. In six out of seven away games, a bet on over 2.5 would have gone through, in four cases even over 3.5. Both teams always got on the scoresheet. Jarrod Bowen, who has already scored six Premier League goals in opposing stadiums in 2023/24, deserves special mention in this context.

Predicted West Ham line-up:

Tottenham – West Ham head-to-head comparison / H2H record

In April 2019, West Ham United became the first club ever to win a Premier League away match at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Since then, there have been four further visits to the Lily Whites’ ornate home ground, none of which have been victorious from the Irons’ perspective. Three of the four attempts even ended in defeat. Last season, Spurs came out on top 2-0 at home and drew 1-1 with the Hammers. The upcoming clash is likely to be a much higher-scoring affair

Tottenham – West Ham betting tip

As “midweek” experts, Spurs and the Hammers have not necessarily made an appearance in the recent past. THFC have won just three of their last nine PL home games, which have come from Tuesday to Thursday. WHU, meanwhile, have gone six league games during the week without a full win. However, as this statistic is aimed more at the superstitious betting fans, the relevance for the Tottenham vs West Ham betting odds on the outcome of the game is limited.

Far more important are the impressions of both teams so far, which paint a rather undifferentiated picture. Tottenham are convincing in footballing terms, but have been too naive in recent weeks and conceded a lot of goals. West Ham, on the other hand, impress with a terrific effort-to-gain ratio. So will the stronger or the more mature team have the upper hand in the city derby?

Despite four games without a win, we see slight advantages for Postecoglou’s team and argue primarily with their strong performance at Manchester City at the weekend. However, as the visitors should not be underestimated as underdogs, we focus on an alternative betting market and instead push the bet on at least four goals between Tottenham and West Ham during the match. A maximum odds of 2.20 is offered for this, which is worth a stake of six units to us