Can the Packers pull off another surprise?
Packers vs. Chiefs – until last season, this would have been a duel at eye level, especially at Lambeau Field. But currently, the Chiefs have to be considered the clear favorites in our Green Bay vs.
This is despite the fact that the Packers have just beaten the Detroit Lions away from home and have now won two games in a row. However, despite all the difficulties with their receivers, the Chiefs can still be classified as the bigger team.
So are the Packers without a chance? No, not that, because if Jordan Love continues his upward trend, he and his offense can definitely go on a shootout. However, the Chiefs’ slightly better defense should then be able to seal the deal for Kansas City.
Our prediction for Packers vs Chiefs is an away win for Kansas City, with Patrick Mahomes making his first ever start at Lambeau Field. So we expect a successful debut for the quarterback
Kick-off of this thrilling NFC vs. AFC duel is on Monday night at 02:20 in Green Bay. The game can be watched live on DAZN.
Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form
Do the Packers still have a playoff chance? Definitely, because with a 5-6 record they are currently just one win behind a Wild Card spot. After the Chiefs game, there are also five doable games left on the schedule for Green Bay.
Thus, the Packers can approach this game as a bonus game, which should take some of the pressure off them. They were already considered the clear underdogs against the Lions on Thanksgiving and still managed to emerge victorious in the end.
Jordan Loves Breakout Game
Last week, we talked about a potential turning point in the Packers’ season, and it actually happened as we predicted. Jordan Love’s strong game turned out exactly that way, too.
He threw for 268 yards and two touchdowns and even ran for 39 yards himself. He was only four yards worse than A.J. Dillon, the Packers’ best rusher. That, in turn, should give them something to think about.
Because if we subtract Love’s rushing yards, Green Bay only got 70 yards on the ground. The problem for Sunday: The Chiefs are ultimately only beatable on the ground, where they allow 113.4 yards per game
Pass game must fix it
That’s why Jordan Love will have to fix it with his arm against the Chiefs. That’s possible, but a little less likely. Because against the pass, Kansas City has a top 4 defense (only 176.6 yards conceded per game).
In this respect, the matchup doesn’t quite suit the Packers, which is why we favor the odds on the Chiefs for Green Bay vs. Kansas City. Above all, we can consider combination bets with over points here.
Key Players:
- QB: Jordan Love
- RB: A.J. Dillon
- WR: Romeo Doubs
- TE: Luke Musgrave
- K: Anders Carlson
Kansas City Chiefs – Statistics & current form
The Kansas City Chiefs still had something to nibble on from the Eagles’ loss at the start of the game against the Raiders. After all, it was as annoying as it was avoidable. In half-time 2, however, they completely turned on the heat and scored 17:3 points.
That was all the more astonishing given that they had previously gone three games in a row without scoring in the second half. So they broke that incredible streak and should travel to Lambeau Field with plenty of confidence
Rashee Rice as a new option?
For a long time, the Chiefs had absolutely no second receiving option behind Travis Kelce. He continues to lead the team with 688 yards. But with Rashee Rice, a clear number 2 behind Kelce is developing more and more.
Against the Raiders, he was even the number 1 target for Patrick Mahomes with 107 yards and a touchdown. Touchdown bets are therefore possible on both Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice in this game. Between the Packers and the Chiefs, higher odds are offered on a TD by Rice.
Turnovers must be avoided
If Rice consolidates his good form, it will be difficult for all Chiefs opponents. Then Mahomes and Co. can only beat themselves again, which they have done many times before. After all, 19 turnovers to date is one of the weakest eight figures in the league.
They are also clearly behind Green Bay with a turnover ratio of -5 (+/- 0). Nevertheless, we trust the Chiefs to compensate for one or two turnovers and still win in the end. For Green Bay vs. Kansas City, a bet on the Chiefs is therefore the favored option.
Key Players:
- QB: Patrick Mahomes
- RB: Isiah Pacheco
- WR: Rashee Rice
- TE: Travis Kelce
- K: Harrison Butker
Green Bay Packers – Kansas City Chiefs head-to-head comparison / H2H record
We’ve written it before: Pat Mahomes is traveling to Lambeau Field for the first time ever, which is because the two teams very rarely face off. Four of the last five duels have also taken place at Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium.
In this respect, the direct comparison here is also negligible. More important is the comparison of this season’s statistics, where the Chiefs are ahead both defensively (3.9 fewer points conceded) and offensively (2.3 more points scored).
Nevertheless, we find the handicap of 6-7 points a bit high and difficult to play, which is why we favor odds of Chiefs + Over 37.5 for Packers vs Chiefs. This value has been exceeded in seven out of eleven Chiefs games
Green Bay Packers – Kansas City Chiefs betting tip
The Chiefs are naturally considered the favorites in this matchup, although 6-7 points away from home at Lambeau Field is a lot. Especially since the Chiefs have not always been completely convincing recently.
Nevertheless, we see them ahead in the end and also with a few total points against the changeable Packers defense. Thus, a bet on Kansas City + Over 37.5 total points is the bet of our choice for Packers vs. Chiefs in this duel
In addition to a Chiefs win, we also recommend a Player Bet on Travis Kelce. As always when he’s on the field. After just one touchdown in the last four games, he should be hot enough to find the end zone again.
