Will the Raiders beat the Packers for the first time since 1987?

The crowning finale of the fifth NFL week takes place in the “City of Sin” in the Nevada desert. In the “Allegiant Stadium” the Las Vegas Raiders and Green Bay Packers conclude the game day on Tuesday morning. A bet on the visitors from Wisconsin in this matchup brings peak betting odds of up to 1.88. For the “Cheeseheads”, it is the last game before the bye week in week six.

Hopes for a successful season are crumbling more and more in Las Vegas. Jimmy Garoppolo doesn’t seem to be the upgrade needed at the quarterback position, but he is currently questionable anyway – after his loss last week. Even with his backup and rookie Aidan O’Connell, the Raiders lost for the third time this season – and this was also the third defeat in a row. Even if his statistics don’t make it seem that way, however, O’Connell was one of the few positive appearances in the 17:24 defeat against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Now Green Bay travel to Nevada with an emphatic 20:34 defeat against their division rivals from Detroit in their luggage, but they are still being treated as slight favourites on the markets. And probably rightly so, because their offensive base is much more solid.

Matt LeFleur’s team should also find approaches on the defensive side. For Las Vegas receiver Davante Adams, this game will probably be special, as the superstar will meet his former team for which he caught passes for seven years for the first time.

Las Vegas Raiders – Statistics & current form

How secure is Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels still in the saddle? It’s not an unrealistic scenario that by the end of the season at the latest, his project in Las Vegas has failed. The quarterback of choice, with whom he already worked with the Patriots, threw five touchdowns and six interceptions in his three games. The latter is league-leading, mind you. Since he is still listed in the NFL’s “Concussion Protocol”, his use in the Raiders vs. Packers duel is questionable as of now. In our forecast, we rather expect fourth-round pick O’Connell to lead the offence once again.

Passing game as most important factor

He showed impressively last week that he can make the offense move the ball, finding his teammates for a total of 238 yards in his first NFL game. The most important factor in the passing game is, of course, the aforementioned Davante Adams, who ranks third in the “Receiving Leader” statistic with just under 400 yards. In the internal ranking, Jacobi Meyers emerged as the clear number two receiver over the first few weeks.

The baseline in the passing game is also imperative, because despite Josh Jacobs – the rushing leader last season after all – Las Vegas has the worst rushing offence in the league. Now, however, one of the worst run defenses awaits, which is why we would hazard a guess between Raiders and Packers that Jacobs will have his best game of the season. Overall, the offense has averaged a disappointing 15.5 points so far.

Defensively, the team in “Silver and Black” should not be underestimated, especially because they have an absolute superstar in Maxx Crosby. Behind him, however, the quality quickly drops and so it is not surprising that four of seven sacks against opposing quarterbacks go to his account. 25.2 points allowed on average are below league average, but only the Bills have managed to score more than 30 points against this unit.

Key Players:

• QB: Aidan O’Connell
• RB: Josh Jacobs
• WR: Davante Adams
• TE: Michael Mayer
• K: Daniel Carlson

Green Bay Packers – Statistics & current form

Two wins and two losses are on Green Bay’s credit side after four games and they are currently ranked second in the NFC North. All in all, a solid start to the season for a team that started with a new and inexperienced franchise quarterback. This is Jordan Love, who followed Aaron Rodgers, who moved to the “Big Apple”. The 24-year-old showed some impressive performances right at the start of the season, but recently had problems against strong defences.

Inconsistent Offense

against the Saints and Lions, the Wisconsin offense combined for just 38 points, while putting 62 on the scoreboard against both the Falcons and Bears on the first two days of play. That averages out to 25 points per game, which puts them in the top third of the league in that record. The offense, which looked good in the first few weeks, has been working only to a limited extent lately. Partly because Love made mistakes, because they had bad matchups, because of a lack of experience and a lack of receiver quality. In addition, there are always new injury concerns on the offensive line, making life difficult for this unit.

This weakened front of the offense also ensures that the rungame can’t be a foundation at all. Added to this is the injury to Aaron Jones, who has only been able to play in two games so far. This leaves A.J. Dillon in charge in the backfield, but his success is also extremely manageable with 2.7 yards per run attempt.

In recent years, Green Bay invested a lot of capital in the defence coached by Joe Barry, but this season it is again a disappointment. Despite good players, there is a lack of stability and that also explains why they allow an average of 155.2 rushing yards and 197.2 passing yards. This results in only 21st place in the ranking of defenses by “yards per game”.

Key Players:

• QB: Jordan Love
• RB: AJ Dillon
• WR: Christian Watson
• TE: Luke Musgrave
• K: Anders Carlson

Las Vegas Raiders – Green Bay Packers Direct Comparison / H2H Balance

Although the two franchises first faced each other back in 1968, there have only been 14 duels so far. The Raiders have won five, the Packers nine. A prediction that the LeFleur team will celebrate its ninth win in a row against the “Silver and Black” seems realistic based on past performances. The Raiders have been waiting for a win against the four-time Super Bowl champions since 1987 and the last home victory was even longer – 39 years ago. Back then, the home side was still based in Los Angeles.

In the last five direct matches, the Packers always put at least 30 points on the scoreboard. If the visitors manage that again when the Raiders host the Packers on Monday night, the betting odds will climb above the 3.00 mark.

Las Vegas Raiders – Green Bay Packers betting tips

However, we do not dare to predict that this will happen because we generally do not expect a shootout. We have too little confidence in the offenses for that. The offensive sides will be able to create some good matchups, but we don’t see the over/under limit of 44.5 points being exceeded.

We have already looked at how the Raiders and Packers match up in terms of win odds for the visitors. We have chosen exactly this recommendation as our main tip and are betting six units on the “Cheeseheads” to win in the “City of Sin”.

In addition, we are betting on Jordan Love. More specifically, on him throwing at least two successful touchdown passes into the end zone. Las Vegas has already conceded eight passing touchdowns and with Green Bay’s number one receiver Christian Watson’s recovery progressing, this seems like a promising bet.