Does the negative streak continue at Rayo?
Far from a dream start for Rayo Vallecano. With two defeats in a row, the “Franjirrojos” have recently squandered any momentum from their strong start to the season – winning their first two league games. After the international break, Rayo now faces the fifth matchday in La Liga. Head coach Francisco’s team will host Deportivo Alavés on Friday evening.
Like Rayo, the Basques have won two of their four league games – both in front of a home crowd, mind you. Alavés, on the other hand, has yet to pick up a point away from home. It is therefore not at all surprising that the Basques are classified as underdogs on Friday night. For a Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves bet on the guests from the Basque country, odds of 4.33.
are offered.
After defeats at Cadiz FC and Getafe FC, the Basque club is now facing the next setback on foreign soil. In the two previous away matches, Deportivo Alavés did not leave a good impression and even failed to score in both matches.
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves prediction therefore aims for a home win for the “Franjirrojos”. For Vallecano, it would be their second win in a row in front of their home crowd against Friday’s opponents.
Rayo Vallecano – statistics & current form
The last two matchdays could hardly have gone worse for Rayo. After a bitter defeat against Atlético Madrid, in which it rang a total of seven times in the box of the “Franjirrojos”, there was for Vallecano before the international break also another defeat at Betis. Rayo lost 1-0 away from home against their Andalusian league rivals.
It is therefore all the more important to get back on track with a win against Alavés after the international break. Rayo has won two of its last three home games against the Basque visitors. If the “Franjirrojos” win this one as well, odds of 1.95 for tip 1 are offered for Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves.
Last season, Rayo were among the most unpleasant opponents in La Liga in front of their home crowd. Only five of a total of 19 home games lost the club from Madrid southeast. In return, they had a win rate of 47%. Among others, Rayo also prevailed against elite teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Will Rayo remain unbeaten against Basque clubs at home again?
The recent home record against Basque clubs also speaks in favor of the “Franjirrojos” on Friday night. Rayo has not lost a home game against a club from the Basque Country since January 2023. Although Rayo was recently shown up at home against Atléti, it cannot be ruled out that the record against clubs from the Basque Country will be extended in the upcoming match as well.
In any case, Rayo Vallecano has lost only one of its last four home matches against Deportivo Alavés in the First Division since October 2000. That defeat came against the Basques in September 2018. Rayo lost the match 1:5 – the highest defeat in the H2h of the two clubs so far.
A high-scoring encounter cannot be ruled out this time either. Bets on more than 2.5 goals have paid off eight times in a row in Rayo’s home games across the season. Enough offensive power is available at Rayo – even if the “Franjirrojos” missed a goal in the last two league games.
Predicted lineup of Rayo Vallecano:
Rayo Vallecano (Expected lineup) 4-4-2
Alaves – statistics & current form
Deportivo Alavés came through the matchday before the international break without any damage. The Basques prevailed 1-0 at home against Valencia CF to claim their second win in their fourth league game. Both of Alavés’ victories so far have come in front of a home crowd. On the other hand, they have failed to pick up a point away from home.
Neither in the away match against FC Cadiz nor in the match in Getafe did the Basques manage to score anything. In both away games, Deportivo Alavés also failed to score. Nevertheless, the newcomer can be expected to score a goal in Friday’s match. At Rayo, Alavés have scored in at least four of their last five matches since 2002.
Betting fans who believe that the promoted team from the Basque Country can even pull off a surprise can currently pick up betting odds of up to 4.33 at bookmaker Bet-at-home for a corresponding Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves forecast on “El Glorioso”. No account with this bookmaker yet? New customers also benefit from a deposit bonus at the Austrian bookie.
Does Alavés improve their record away from home?
The Basques have won just six of their last 23 away matches at league level – La Liga and La Liga 2 – across the season. In return, there have been ten defeats in those 23 matches. It is therefore associated with a lot of risk to bet on a victory of “El Glorioso” in Friday’s match in La Liga.
Head coach Luis Garcia will have to do without a player for the league match in Madrid’s southeast. There are no other personnel worries on the part of the Basques. Kike García currently leads the internal goalscoring charts with two goals to his name. The veteran therefore remains in the 4-2-3-1 set. There will be no major changes to the starting eleven against Valencia anyway
Predicted lineup of Alaves:
Deportivo Alaves (Expected lineup) 4-3-3
Rayo Vallecano – Alaves Direct comparison / H2H balance
This is the 41st time the two teams have met. Rayo Vallecano leads the H2h against CD Alavés with a record of 17-7-16. In these 40 encounters, 100 goals have been scored – an average of 2.5 goals per match. Bets on more than 2.5 goals in a match paid off only once in the last five H2hs.
However, a total of three of these five matches were played at Deportivo Alavés. In the last five league duels at Rayo, on the other hand, four times more than 2.5 goals have been scored. Therefore, it is by no means out of place to place bets on a high-scoring encounter this time as well.
Rayo Vallecano – Alaves Tip
Rayo Vallecano have squandered any momentum after their strong start to the season. After a bitter 7-0 defeat to Atléti, Rayo also lost out to Betis before the international break. Now Rayo faces a home game against Alavés. Friday’s opponents of the “Franjirrojos” have lost ten of their last 23 away games at league level across the season.
The season in the Spanish top flight started for the Basques with two defeats on foreign soil, in which “El Glorioso” even remained without a goal. It is possible that this negative trend will continue against Rayo. In any case, the last time Alavés visited Friday’s opponents, the Basque representative suffered a defeat.
We rule out a win for Alavés this time as well, instead leaning towards a point for the hosts in a high-scoring encounter. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves tip targets “1X & Over 1.5 goals” at betting odds of 1.88.
