Freiburg: Last chance for the top flight?

There is still something at stake for both Freiburg and Wolfsburg in this match. The hosts from Breisgau even have a chance of making it into the Champions League, but for that to happen, almost everything has to go right for coach Christian Streich’s team. The game will also be very difficult.

However, the Freiburg vs. Wolfsburg prediction of the betting providers shows that the home side will go into this match as favourites despite some recent mixed results. The individual class does not necessarily speak in favour of the SCF, but the season as a whole does.

Now, at the end of the season, it’s always a question of which team can tickle the last bits of strength out of itself. That’s why nuances are likely to be decisive. The susceptibility to mistakes also increases. That’s why our Freiburg vs. Wolfsburg tip is that both teams will score.

Freiburg – Statistics & current form

Freiburg already had an important match in the fight for the UEFA Champions League last week, but the hosts lost this one with 2:4 at Union Berlin. It seems that Freiburg are running out of steam in the final spurt of the season. A long season with many games in the Europa League, the DFB Cup and the Bundesliga naturally leaves its mark, also and especially because the squad is not optimally staffed across the board in one position or another.

One advantage for Freiburg ahead of this match is their home record. The hosts have won nine of their 16 home games, away from home “only” seven. There have been three defeats at the Europa Park Stadium for the hosts so far, which reads excellent. However, two of the last three home games were lost, but against Leipzig and Bayern. Now, against Wolfsburg and Frankfurt, six points are to be earned in the last two games.

Because the Champions League train has not yet sailed for Freiburg. The team is in fifth place, three points behind Union in third. But since the team from Köpenick also has the better goal difference, it will probably have to be six points, and FCU must not win another game to do so. But the Breisgauers are seven points clear at the back, that’s for sure.

Freiburg not perfect offensively, but the standards…

Freiburg are going through one of the bigger “crises” this season. The Breisgauer have lost two Bundesliga games in a row for the first time. Offensively, there have also been slight problems at times in recent weeks, three goals in three games is not a fearsome record for opponents. Freiburg has slight problems with their play anyway, but they score the most standard goals in the Bundesliga.

Furthermore, no team has scored more headed goals in 2023 than SC Freiburg. Wolfsburg, however, also have seven headed goals in 2023. And they both have something else in common: no team has achieved more games to nil than these two. Only Union Berlin can match their twelve games without conceding a goal. Only in two of the last nine games, however, did Freiburg play to nil. That’s why, ahead of the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match, our prediction is that both teams will score.

Last matches played by Freiburg:

Bundesliga

• 13/05/2023 – Union Berlin 4 – 2 SC Freiburg
• 06/05/2023 – SC Freiburg 0 – 1 RB Leipzig

DFB Cup

• 03/05/2023 – SC Freiburg 1 – 5 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga

• 29/04/2023 – 1. FC Cologne 0 – 1 SC Freiburg
• 23/04/2023 – SC Freiburg 4 – 0 Schalke 04

Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

Wolfsburg are playing a very strange season. It took a long time for the Wolves to stabilise, then it took a while for Kovac’s system to work properly. In between, there were phases with high basic stability and many victories, also against Freiburg in the 6:0 first leg, but most recently Wolfsburg lost 0:6 in Dortmund, for example, and was completely helpless.

Wolfsburg recovered a little from the defeat in Dortmund, winning 2-1 against TSG Hoffenheim. That’s why the Wolves are currently in sixth place in the Bundesliga with 49 points, level on points with Leverkusen and three points ahead of Frankfurt. So reaching the Europa League seems very possible if Wolfsburg pull themselves together.

The game in Freiburg could be complicated, though, as the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg betting odds indicate favouritism for the Breisgauer. But as mentioned before, things are often complicated, especially in the closing stages of the league.

Wolfsburg dangerous through Joker

Wolfsburg have actually won more away than at home so far, but have also lost significantly more often. That’s why the team’s points average is about identical to their haul in home games. After Freiburg, the Wolves will play Hertha, who will probably already have been relegated. That could well be an advantage.

In addition, the Lower Saxons have excellent values when it comes to jokers. Wolfsburg have already scored 13 goals through substitutes, only BVB have more. In addition, the visitors’ form curve is slightly upwards, with the Kovac eleven winning three of their last four games, as many as in the eleven games before. Freiburg have a very good record on resting balls, while Wolfsburg sometimes look susceptible here. In addition, the hosts have the home advantage, which is why our value tip before the match between Freiburg and Wolfsburg is that the hosts will win.

Last games of Wolfsburg:

Bundesliga

• 13/05/2023 – VfL Wolfsburg 2 – 1 Hoffenheim
• 07/05/2023 – Borussia Dortmund 6 – 0 VfL Wolfsburg
• 30/04/2023 – VfL Wolfsburg 3 – 0 Mainz 05
• 22/04/2023 – VfL Bochum 1 – 5 VfL Wolfsburg
• 17/04/2023 – VfL Wolfsburg 0 – 0 Bayer Leverkusen

Freiburg – Wolfsburg Direct comparison / H2H-Balance

41 matches played by both teams in direct comparison against each other so far. Freiburg have won 14 of these games, while 16 have ended in Wolfsburg’s favour. Eleven games did not end with a winner, the first leg was a spectacle in favour of the Wolves, with Kovac’s eleven winning 6:0 back then.

Freiburg – Wolfsburg Tip

Freiburg have lost their last two games but still looked dangerous in many phases. The Breisgauer see the game against Wolfsburg as a kind of final in the fight for the top flight and will be set as such.

Because of the omens that both teams have to play forward and both are also good on the move after resting balls, our tip before the match Freiburg vs Wolfsburg is that both teams will score.