Will the Rojiblancos’ unbeaten streak continue?
While Atletico Madrid could underline their ambitions to qualify for the Champions League with a nine-game unbeaten streak (six wins, three draws), Valencia are fighting relegation after a long negative streak.
Los Che have won only two of their last eleven league games (one draw, eight defeats), which is why betting on a home win for the Rojiblancos in Atletico Madrid against Valencia seems almost without alternative.
The form weakness of the visitors from the Spanish east coast is compounded by the strong home series of the Colchoneros. At home in the Estadio Metropolitano, the Madrilenians have not lost any of their last eleven league games against the Blanquinegros (seven wins, four draws). Accordingly, our prediction for Atletico Madrid against Valencia is clearly for a home win for the Rojiblancos.
Aparticularly away from home, things have been going very badly for the Valencians lately. Los Che have lost all of their last five away games in La Liga and have not even managed to score a single goal in their last four defeats. Accordingly, it makes sense to extend the bet on a home win for the Colchoneros and bet on a win for the Madrilenians.
However, if the risk involved is too high for you, you can also stick to the classic three-way system and bet on tip 1 at Bwin at odds of 1.60.
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
For the twelfth year in a row, Diego Simeone is the head coach at Atletico Madrid, where the Argentine has been able to shape a very successful era for the Spanish capital club. The Rojiblancos won two of the eleven league titles under Simeone in 2014 and 2021.
In addition, they won the Europa League twice, the Copa del Rey in 2013 and reached two Champions League finals. This year, on the other hand, no further trophies will be added. In the top flight, the Colchoneros were eliminated in the preliminary round and in the cup they lost to city rivals Real Madrid in the quarter-finals.
Six points clear in fifth place
So all that remains for the capital city side is to finish the 2022/23 La Liga season, which has not always been a commanding one, well and get a top-four finish over the home stretch. With a 17-point gap to leaders Barcelona, the Rojiblancos are currently in third place and thus on target.
They have not lost any of their last nine league games (six wins, three draws) and are currently six points ahead of fifth place. Most recently, the Colchoneros celebrated a 6-1 victory over Europa League record winners Sevilla FC at the Estadio Metropolitano.
Only the fifth best home team in La Liga
Overall, however, Atleti are not as strong at home in 2022/23 as they were in previous years. With only six wins from the twelve home games (three draws, three defeats), the win rate in front of their own fans is only 50%.
Nevertheless, the odds on Atletico Madrid against Valencia are clearly in favour of the Rojiblancos, who have not lost to the Blanquinegros for eleven home games in La Liga (seven wins, four draws). The in-form capitals can go into this match with a correspondingly broad chest.
Last games played by Atletico Madrid:
La Liga
14/03/2023 – Girona 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
05/03/2023 – Atletico Madrid 6 – 1 Sevilla FC
26/02/2023 – Real Madrid 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid
20/02/2023 – Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Athletic Bilbao
12/02/2023 – Celta Vigo 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
Valencia – Statistics & current form
Valencia Club de Fútbol already experienced several setbacks in the 2021/22 season. Not only did Los Che, ninth in the final La Liga table, miss out on qualifying for an international competition by a very wide margin, but they also failed to save the season through the back door in the end when they lost the Copa del Rey final to Real Betis.
In the new season, however, the Murciélagos (the bats) have been hit even harder. With just 26 points from 25 league games, the Blanquinegros are currently only just above the bottom of the table, level on points with Getafe FC.
Only two wins in the last eleven league games
The situation has become particularly precarious in recent weeks. Los Che have only won two of their last eleven league games (one draw, eight defeats), which means they only have a miserable seven points out of a possible 33.
Away from home, in particular, the Spanish east coast side have won just one of their 12 La Liga outings (three draws, eight defeats) and have scored just eight away goals.
Since 429 minutes without an away goal in La Liga
Currently, the Murciélagos have been waiting 429 minutes of play for another away goal. With this in mind, our prediction for Atletico Madrid against Valencia also goes to a to-nil home win for the Rojiblancos.
There is some hope for a turnaround, however, due to the fact that under coach Rubén Baraja, who was hired in February, six of the twelve possible points from four league games were scored. However, even under the 47-year-old’s leadership, Los Che suffered two 1-0 defeats away from home.
Last matches of Valencia:
La Liga
12/03/2023 – Valencia 1 – 0 Osasuna Pamplona
05/03/2023 – FC Barcelona 1 – 0 Valencia
26/02/2023 – Valencia 1 – 0 Real Sociedad
21/02/2023 – Getafe 1 – 0 Valencia
12/02/2023 – Valencia 1 – 2 Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid – Valencia Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 69 – 48 – 60
There have been a total of 177 meetings between the two teams so far and the Rojiblancos lead the direct comparison with 69 wins. Most recently, Atletico remained unbeaten in 16 consecutive league games against Los Che (ten wins, six draws). The Madrilenians also won the first leg in Valencia 1-0.
Atletico Madrid – Valencia Tip
Betting odds on Atletico Madrid against Valencia are clearly in favour of the home side, who have not lost any of their last eleven home games against the eastern Spaniards in La Liga (seven wins, four draws). To make matters worse, the Madrilenians are unbeaten in nine league games (six wins, three draws), while Los Che have lost all of their last five away games in La Liga and have been waiting for another away goal for 429 minutes of play.
It’s a good idea to bet on a home win for Atletico Madrid against Valencia, with the addition that the Colchoneros can beat the visitors from the east coast of Spain by nil. The Rojiblancos did just that in the first leg, winning 1-0 away at Valencia.
