Rayo will look to continue their positive trend
A mid-table clash in the Spanish league is on the cards when Rayo Vallecano play Almeria at home. The hosts have certainly had the better season so far, which is why the Rayo Vallecano vs. Almeria prediction of the bookmakers also swings in the direction of the home side.
The favourite role for Rayo Vallecano is therefore not particularly surprising. The hosts have slight advantages individually, in terms of form as well. On top of that, the home advantage of the hosts equates to an away weakness, especially with opponents Almeria.
Many things look like the hosts could continue their positive trend. That would be important if they are to continue to play in good company in the table. Our Rayo Vallecano vs. Almeria tip says that the hosts will not lose and that they will score more than 1.5 goals.
Rayo Vallecano – Statistics & current form
The 2022/23 season could be significantly worse for Rayo Vallecano and coach Andoni Iraola. The hosts picked up an important 1-0 win away at Villarreal CF last Monday to consolidate their position in a single-digit place in the table. Rayo are not easy to play against, the 4-2-3-1 system is consolidated and offensively something is always possible.
However, the hosts, like a striking number of teams in La Liga, currently lack a real goalscorer. Two players have five goals to their name, which is clearly too few. As long as that’s enough to bring home a win or two, the situation is still perfectly fine. But this team has nothing to do with relegation, which is the most important point.
Moreover, after Almeria, Getafe is also on the agenda, so the opponents are doable. So the next points could be won. An important factor this season is also the defence. 22 goals conceded are absolutely okay at the moment, and it shows that the defence is quite good, both at home and away. In the meantime, the team has also learned to handle the role as favourites.
Rayo Vallecano: The problems with consistency have to be fixed
It has become apparent in recent weeks that Rayo Vallecano have had problems with consistency. Three wins, one draw, three defeats: the stability is not there. However, the overall result has not suffered from this so far. The home rate of the hosts is quite respectable, Rayo scores 1.56 points per game on average, four of the nine games were won. They have also never conceded more than two goals in a game at home.
Rayo Vallecano is also a team that is difficult to beat. There have been five defeats in the whole season so far, only the top 4 teams in La Liga have suffered fewer defeats. That speaks for their compactness and also for their ability to come back from behind. This upcoming match against Almeria also has a revenge factor, as Rayo lost the first leg by a clear 1:3.
In any case, some elements speak in favour of the hosts. That’s why our prediction before the match Rayo Vallecano vs. Almeria is that the hosts will not lose and that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in this match.
Predicted line-up of Rayo Vallecano:
Dimitrievski – Balliu, Lejeune, Catena, Fan Garcia – Ciss, Comesana, Trejo, Andres Martin, Palazon – Camello
Last matches played by Rayo Vallecano:
La Liga
07/02/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 2 – 0 Almeria
31/01/2023 – FC Villarreal 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
21/01/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 Real Sociedad
14/01/2023 – Real Valladolid 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
08/01/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 1 – 2 Real Betis
Almeria – Statistics & current form
Almeria are also in mid-table in La Liga, but slightly behind Rayo Vallecano. The guests of coach Rubi also have small disadvantages individually, in addition to the fact that they are doing worse football-wise. Recently, however, there was a positive step forward, because they won against Espanyol with 3:1. That brought new self-confidence.
In the weeks before, things were not going so well for the guests. The result against Espanyol means that there has only been one win in the last six games. The guests still have to look in the direction of the relegation zone. But this was already expected in this form before the season, Almeria does not have a particularly high-quality squad.
A big problem for the visitors this season is their performances away from home, as Almeria have yet to record a single away win. If that remains the case, it could be a close call for the club to stay in the relegation zone. The team’s points in nine games away from home have come so far.
Almeria often too vulnerable
One difference between the two teams playing each other here is the defence. Almeria is more vulnerable, even in recent weeks. They’ve conceded seven goals in their last five La Liga games, 29 in total. In a league that is not synonymous with great spectacle this year and offers some rather pedestrian teams offensively, this record does not sound particularly good.
In addition to the general weakness away from home, Almeria are also somewhat more harmless away from home, scoring only six goals in nine games. The compact approach is certainly not a bad one, but it has not yet led to success. For this reason, our value tip before the Rayo Vallecano vs. Almeria match is also that not both teams score.
Predicted line-up of Almeria:
Martinez – Pozo, Ely, Babic, Akieme – de la Hoz, Robertone, Melero – Leo Baptistao, Embarba, El Bilal Toure
Last matches played by Almeria:
La Liga
07/02/2023 – Rayo Vallecano 2 – 0 Almeria
28/01/2023 – Almeria 3 – 1 Espanyol
24/01/2023 – Valencia 2 – 2 Almeria
15/01/2023 – Almeria 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid
08/01/2023 – Almeria 0 – 2 Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano – Almeria Direct comparison / H2H record
10 of the 18 meetings between these two teams have gone to Rayo Vallecano. The first leg, however, was won 3-1 by Almeria. The visitors have won six times in total, but it is closer in terms of goals scored, with Rayo currently 21-19 up.
Rayo Vallecano – Almeria tip
Things could definitely be much worse for Rayo Vallecano. The team looks consolidated, even if there are defeats in between. Almeria are also on target, but things don’t look good away from home.
Based on these omens and the statistics, our tip before the Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria match is that the hosts will not lose and will score more than 1.5 goals.
