Will the Seagulls score again at the Saints?
In recent weeks, Southampton FC’s lead over the Premier League relegation places has narrowed significantly. After two defeats in a row, the Saints last drew a point during the week. Ralph Hasenhüttl & Co. will be able to cope with this draw. After all, most of the relegation rivals have also missed out on a win.
Nevertheless, the current table situation cannot be glossed over. Saturday’s game against Brighton is of great importance for Hasenhüttl’s team. Especially as the Saints benefit from the home advantage at St. Mary’s Stadium against the Seagulls. Next week, on the other hand, is the tough away game at the Gunners from London.
the Hasenhüttl eleven slightly favoured this weekend. At home, Southampton FC have remained unbeaten in their last four home games and therefore approach Saturday’s match with a broad chest. If they get maximum points this weekend, Southampton vs. Brighton will pay odds of 2.50 for tip 1.
Southampton’s Premier League record against their upcoming opponents is encouraging. So far, the Saints have lost only one of their eight games against Brighton in the English top flight.
Southampton – Statistics & current form
Southampton have stayed clear of the relegation places so far. However, if the form crisis continues, it is only a matter of time before the Saints slip into the red zone. Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have failed to win three games in a row. While the results against teams like Liverpool (0:4) and Leicester City (2:2) are still bearable, the result against Norwich was nothing to write home about.
Southampton even conceded two goals against the – at that time – last-placed team in the league. This continued the negative trend away from home. At home, on the other hand, the Saints have been brimming with confidence. Southampton FC have gone unbeaten in their last four home games, including the recent draw with Leicester City.
Meanwhile, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have a 2-4-1 record in the Premier League after a total of seven home games, with their only defeat coming at St Mary’s Stadium against Wolverhampton Wanderers. Against their upcoming opponents from Brighton, Southampton will now be aiming for a home win in the Premier League for the first time in the club’s history.
Will the streak continue at St Mary’s?
Never the less, the Saints are confident going into the home game against Brighton. On the south coast, Southampton have won nine of their last 22 Premier League derbies, giving them a 41% win rate. By comparison, Brighton have won just two in 14 attempts in the English top flight.
Because only two of the last 12 home Premier League games have been lost at St Mary’s across the season, it stands to reason that Southampton will extend their current record on the south coast in the upcoming derby against Brighton. Bettors looking to place a bet on the hosts in Southampton vs Brighton can pick up odds of 2.50 if successful.
Ralph Hasenhüttl is only expected to be without Armstrong, Forster and Bednarek for the home game against the Seagulls. Instead, the recovered Jack Stephens is back in the squad and is expected to replace the injured Bednarek in central defence. Otherwise, the changes in the starting eleven will probably remain manageable.
Predicted line-up of Southampton:
McCarthy; Livramento, Salisu, Lyanco, Walker-Peters; Redmond, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Elyounoussi; Adams, Armstrong
Last matches played by Southampton:
Premier League
12/01 2021 – Southampton 2 – 2 Leicester
11/27 2021 – Liverpool FC 4 – 0 Southampton
11/20 2021 – Norwich 2 – 1 Southampton
11/05 2021 – Southampton 1 – 0 Aston Villa
10/30 2021 – Watford 0 – 1 Southampton
Brighton – Statistics & current form
The Seagulls will have no complaints about the way the season has gone so far. After 14 matchdays, Brighton have only three defeats to their name. Only Championship contenders such as Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea have conceded fewer defeats than Brighton, who are ninth in the table, in that period.
However, head coach Graham Potter’s side have not scored three since matchday five. In seven of the last nine games, there was a division of points in the Premier League. This was also the case on the last two matchdays, where Brighton took a point against Leeds and West Ham respectively.
Brighton are now aiming for the next points against their league rivals on the south coast. The Seagulls have never lost an away game at Southampton FC’s St Mary’s in the Premier League. In four away games against the Saints, there have been three draws and one win in the English top flight.
Will the next draw follow?
Because Brighton have already recorded seven draws in 14 matchdays, it is not at all unreasonable to bet on a draw between Southampton and Brighton. Odds in the region of 3.00 are offered for this. After all, the Seagulls have the necessary defensive bulwark to keep the Saints’ attack at bay over 90 minutes.
The only away game Brighton have lost so far was at Aston Villa. Potter’s side have already picked up a point at Championship contenders Liverpool. The recent result at St Mary’s is also encouraging for the Seagulls. After all, Brighton already beat Southampton FC away from home in the second half of last season.
If the Saints can win the league for the second time in a row, Southampton vs Brighton odds of up to 3.10 will be paid out for a prediction on the visitors. Graham Potter will be without five players for the away game against the Saints, including striker Danny Welbeck.
Predicted Brighton line-up:
Sanchez; Lamptey, Dunk, Duffy, Cucurella; Bissouma, Moder; March, Gross, Trossard; Maupay
Last Brighton games:
Premier League
12/01 2021 – West Ham 1 – 1 Brighton
11/27 2021 – Brighton 0 – 0 Leeds
11/20 2021 – Aston Villa 2 – 0 Brighton
11/06 2021 – Brighton 1 – 1 Newcastle United
10/30 2021 – Liverpool FC 2 – 2 Brighton
Southampton – Brighton Direct Comparison / H2H Record
This is the 36th time the two clubs have met. Southampton lead the direct comparison against the Seagulls with a record of 18-12-5. Last season, Southampton lost a must-win game against Brighton for the first time since January 2012. Prior to that, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side went unbeaten against the Seagulls seven times in a row. Southampton even won four of the seven games during that period.
Southampton – Brighton Tip
In order to stay away from the relegation places, the next match is of great importance for the Saints. After all, in the best possible scenario, the lead of five points can be extended. Saturday’s opponents are among the favourite opponents of Ralph Hasenhüttl & Co.
In the last nine years, Southampton FC have only lost to Brighton once. That defeat came in the second half of last season. Although Southampton were superior, the Saints lacked a bit of luck to draw the points. For Brighton it was the first derby win against Southampton in the Premier League.
The Seagulls will now be looking to score again at St Mary’s this season. So far, head coach Graham Potter’s troops have lost only one away game in the English top flight. Nevertheless, we see the Seagulls as underdogs at Southampton FC’s St Mary’s. Especially as Brighton only boast a 14% win rate in PL derbies on the south coast.
With a stake of five units, our betting odds for Southampton vs Brighton are 2.50 on a home win. Alternatively, we recommend betting on more than 2.5 goals. After all, a prediction on this paid off in the last two games between the two clubs.
