Will Sarr score again for the Hornets?
The promoted Watford side welcome the still winless Newcastle side on matchday 6 in the Premier League. The visitors are in a relegation spot due to their bungled start to the season and have lost the majority of the five league games they have played so far. The home side, for their part, recorded their second win of the season last weekend when they visited Norwich.
However, this was not much more than a compulsory task, as the equally promoted Canaries are bottom of the table and still without a point. For the match between Watford and Newcastle, the prediction includes a goal by Ismaila Sarr – the top scorer so far this season on the side of the hosts.
Watford – Statistics & current form
The Hornets celebrated their 140th anniversary this year. In league action, however, the options for celebrations were not there in the meantime after an opening win against Aston Villa. Three defeats in a row followed. But the negative run was stopped on the last matchday: The team of Spanish coach Xisco won 3:1 at Norwich.
The mixed start to the season can be explained to some extent by the injury to Pedro in midfield. The Brazilian is normally very important for the Golden Boys’ attack, as his haul of nine goals in last year’s promotion season shows.
Sarr is currently the sole entertainer on the offensive end
In contrast, Ismaila Sarr is operating very positively in the attacking play of the two-time FA Cup finalists. The Senegalese has already scored three goals and created the most chances (9); no Watford player has taken more shots on goal (13) this season
His high technical ability can also be seen in his 16 successful dribbles – again the highest by an Orns player. Sarr was off during the week in the EFL Cup, so he will now be physically fresh.
The cup match without him ended with a 3-1 defeat at home to second division Stoke at Vicarage Road. However, the defeat must be put into perspective somewhat, as Watford only fielded a B eleven against City.
Kiko must pass in defence
In addition to the absence of Pedro in the forward play, the defence of the runners-up of the Championship must also be changed. The reason is the injury of the Spaniard Kiko, who scored a goal in the recent win at Norwich and has been a staple in the defence for many years.
In view of this and the fact that the home side’s defence is already not up to scratch, the odds on both sides celebrating a goal against Newcastle have value on top.
Predicted Watford line-up:
Foster – Ngakia – Troost-Ekong – Cathcart – Rose – Sissoko – Kucka – Cleverley – Dennis – King – Sarr
Last matches played by Watford:
Newcastle – Statistics & current form
Newcastle, unlike their opponents, did not have an extra game in the EFL Cup this week, having already bowed out in the competition in the first round last August with a defeat to league rivals Burnley. In other respects, too, the situation at United is anything but rosy.
Coach Steve Bruce’s team is still waiting for its first win of the season. One of the main shortcomings is the weak defence. Only the bottom team from Norwich has conceded one more goal than the four-time champions, the last time 94 years ago. The “Toon” has already scored 13 times this season.
The expected goal value for the opponents also shows the defensive inability. This is just under twelve and is the highest figure for any club in the Premier League! The defensive problems are also not new: Already in the previous season, NUFC’s backline was weak and conceded the fifth most goals in the Premier League at the final reckoning.
Will the Magpies go down to defeat?
With a defence that is not very solid, the odds on a home win in the match between Watford and Newcastle are also a good idea. The betting is underpinned by the absence of Callum Wilson in the attack. The visitors’ best goal scorer last season has to miss out due to injury
The hopes in the attack are therefore currently very much on Allan Saint-Maximin. The Frenchman is living up to the increased workload with two goals and two assists each, but of course he can’t do it on his own and real help from his offensive teammates has hardly been seen lately
Predicted Newcastle line-up:
Darlow – Hayden – Lascelles – Ritchie – Clark – Manquillo – Almiron – Willock – Longstaff – Joelinton – Saint-Maximin
Last matches played by Newcastle:
Watford – Newcastle Direct Comparison / H2H Record
The Yellow Army defeated the Magpies in the last direct duel. With 2:1 Watford won against the six-time winner of the FA Cup at home. Thanks to the success, the hosts are unbeaten in four comparisons with United (2-2-0). Furthermore, four of the past five home matches have been won in this clash (4-1-0).
For the latest edition of Watford vs Newcastle, the betting odds are nevertheless only slightly in favour of the home side.
Watford – Newcastle betting odds
Watford have played twelve Premier League encounters with Newcastle and won five (5-4-3). The Hornets have no better record against any other team in the division. The signs for an extension of this balance of power are not bad now, because the visitors travel in a weak condition.
For the clash between Watford and Newcastle the tip is for Ismaila Sarr to score The Senegalese is the clear lynchpin in the attack of the hosts. He has already accounted for three of the Hornets’ six goals this season and in the recent international break, Sarr struck with a goal for his home country against Congo
Furthermore, there should be no shortage of scoring chances for him against the third-worst defence in the Premier League. No team has allowed more opposition shots on goal (93) and the weakness of the north-east side’s defence can also be seen in the league’s highest Expected Goals for opponents (11.95).