Are the Pats celebrating their first home win?
Pats vs. Saints and that’s with neither Tom Brady nor Drew Brees. NFL fans still have to get used to this scenario. But with the duel Jones vs. Winston there are other headlines and also moments of surprise.
Especially with Saints quarterback Jameis Winston, it is completely unclear which player we will get to see on Sunday. The one who threw five touchdowns in Week 1 and had a passer rating of 130.8 or the one who went without a touchdown on Game Day 2, threw two interceptions and ended up with a rating of 26.9.
Mac Jones is much more balanced on the road and has delivered solid numbers in his two NFL games so far. Unlike many other rookies (Wilson, Lawrence, Fields), he has yet to throw an interception.
For Sunday, however, we expect a game on a knife edge Both defensive lines have already proven that they can decide games and it will probably come down to these defensive actions again this weekend.
Since anything is possible here and we actually foresee a 50-50 duel, betting on New Orleans is the better choice for Patriots vs. Saints. Why? Because the bookmakers surprisingly see them down by a few points.
Kickoff of the Week 3 game is on Sunday at 19.00 and it will be broadcast live on DAZN’s RedZone – with German commentary.
United States New England Patriots – Statistics & current form
In New England they could breathe a sigh of relief after their first win of the season against the Jets last Sunday. The longer this would have been delayed, the more pressure Mac Jones would have been under. But that pressure is off him for the time being.
However, so far he has also given the impression that he is calm even in critical situations and can thus perfectly follow in the footsteps of Tom Brady. In addition, he also seems to continue Brady’s rushing weakness, as he has not yet gained a single yard of space in his two starts.
Jones a pure passing QB
But that’s not expected of him, since they finally have a starting running back in Damien Harris who can put up 100-yard games. He should be considered one of the most important Pats players, especially offensively.
Because Mac Jones will focus on throwing again in the future, mainly from the pocket. That held up extremely well against the Jets on Sunday, even though it was only the Jets, of course. Against the Saints, that effort will be that much more difficult.
Can their defense take advantage of the Winston mistakes
In addition to their own offense, a lot will come down to their excellent defense against New Orleans They caught four interceptions against New York and with James Winston, a quarterback comes to Gillette Stadium who is also known for his bad throws.
If their defence (above all Jackson and McCourty) manages another game with several intercepted balls, then the advantages are on the side of the Pats. If, however, they fail to win the ball, then we even see slight advantages for the men from New Orleans.
Thus, our forecast for Pats vs. Saints is a close game that could well end with an away win. Furthermore, the Saints’ strong defence is predestined to intercept Mac Jones for the first time.
Key Players:
– QB: Mac Jones
– RB: Damien Harris
– WR: Nelson Agholor
– TE: Jonnu Smith
– K: Quinn Nordin
United States New Orleans Saints – Statistics & Current form
The Saints have shown two completely different faces in their two games so far. Against the Packers they dominated at will and already looked like a legitimate Super Bowl favourite, then against the Panthers they failed all along the line.
Only seven points of their own, Jameis Winston with two interceptions and no power in the running game. Their superstar Kamara gained less than one yard per run. A value that has only rarely happened to him in his career so far.
Offensive still too inconsistent
It’s not a good thing that the Pats are the team that has intercepted the most balls so far – a tightrope act for Jameis Winston. However, he will also be persuaded by the coaching staff to throw the ball out of bounds this weekend rather than falling backwards somewhere in the middle.
Also very surprising is the Saints’ running woes. We’ve already written about Kamara’s Trouble, but backup Tony Jones is also only slightly better at 2.3 yards per carry and in the weak zone.
Saints still with very good chances
If the Saints can’t get their running game going, it could be a long Sunday. However, we expect a bounceback game from Alvin Kamaraas other superstars around the league (most notably Derrick Henry) have done.
Bets on over 100 yards from Kamera are therefore a good underdog bet. In New England vs. New Orleans, however, the odds on the Saints are so good that we favour this bet as a No. 1 option. Especially since the Pats haven’t been as strong at home for a long time as they were up until two years ago.
Key Players:
– QB: Jameis Winston
– RB: Alvin Kamara
– WR: Marquez Callaway
– TE: Adam Trautman
– K: Aldrick Rosas
New England Patriots – New Orleans Saints Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The Saints have always been very good against the Pats in recent years, although of course a lot of that had to do with Tom Brady. After all, he was on the field for the Pats in every one of the duels this millennium (record: 4:1).
Since he left, however, the Patriots have been a completely different team and have had a turnover of players like hardly any other franchise. In contrast, the Saints’ only change was at quarterback (Brees to Winston).
While this is a weakening for New Orleans, we still see them as a more well-rounded team After all, Winston was on last year’s squad as well. So for Patriots vs Saints, a bet on the away team here is definitely worth considering from a value standpoint as well
United States New England Patriots – New Orleans Saints United States Tip
We see more advantages on the side of New Orleans than on the side of New England. That’s because they’re well-practiced and have something to prove after the home defeat. Alvin Kamara is also very likely to start again.
So the Saints will at least be able to keep the duel open and then it comes down to the betting odds. Here, the odds on New Orleans are clearly higher for Pats vs. Saints, which tips the scales in favour of our betting recommendation for Saints
Tips on a few Saints points represent another betting option Since we expect a bounceback game, they should definitely be able to top the 19.5 team points set. Anything else would be a surprise